FK Jablonec
vs
Rangers
UEFA Europa Conference League prediction
The model makes it 68% FK Jablonec, 17% draw, 15% Rangers — fair odds of 1.47, 5.88 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).
Expected goals: FK Jablonec 2.61, Rangers 1.17.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%, under 2.5: 27%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Form going into this match
FK Jablonec
- W1-0Slovácko9 August 2026
- W2-0away to Pardubice2 August 2026
- W2-1Sigma Olomouc26 July 2026
Rangers
- L1-2Hibernian9 August 2026
- D1-1away to Dundee United31 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Domestic league positions
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 9 | Rangers | Premiership | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables
Leading scorers
FK Jablonec
- M. Cedidla2 goals
Rangers
- T. Aasgaard1 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
FK Jablonec carry a model rating of 6.55 against 6.31 for Rangers. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
Recent form (most recent last): FK Jablonec W-W-W; Rangers D-L.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.61 goals for FK Jablonec and 1.17 for Rangers. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FK Jablonec rate 0.69 in attack and 1.27 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Rangers rate 0.66 and 2.00.
That points to 73% for over two and a half goals and 64% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 2-0 (8%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 336 correct results out of 706 settled predictions (48%), with 66 exact scorelines (9%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FK Jablonec the highest probability at 68%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.61 expected goals for FK Jablonec against 1.17 for Rangers. FK Jablonec's attack/defence rating is 0.69/1.27 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/2 for Rangers.