KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: KuPS 1-0 Shamrock Rovers.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% KuPS, 18% draw, 21% Shamrock Rovers — fair odds of 1.64, 5.56 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
It puts KuPS at 61% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers
Line-ups
- 1J. KreidlG
- 6S. SavolainenD
- 28B. MagassaD
- 4K. Adams
- 25C. AntwiD
- 10V. R. GascM
- 8P. PennanenM
- 21J. Luyeye-LutumbaM
- 16T. JyryM
- 24B. ArmahD
- 20P. ParzyszekF
- 12H. RiihimakiG
- 37K. SilenG
- 9G. EngvallF
- 11J. J. Moreno CiorciariF
- 13N. KujasaloM
- 14S. PasanenM
- 17A. HeinonenM
- 22S. TourayM
- 23A. LotjonenD
- 1E. McGintyG
- 5L. GraceD
- 4R. LopesD
- 3E. StevensD
- 22T. SobowaleD
- 7D. WattsM
- 8M. HealyM
- 26J. O'Sullivan
- 24W. FitzgeraldM
- 18J. AfolabiF
- 9A. GreeneF
- 25L. SteacyG
- 41A. NoonanG
- 10G. BurkeF
- 11J. MulraneyM
- 15M. AsamoahF
- 17L. O'Regan
- 19A. BrennanM
- 27C. O'SullivanD
- 29J. ByrneM
Form going into KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers
KuPS
- L2-4Mariehamn23 August 2026
Shamrock Rovers
- W3-2Dundalk7 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
KuPS and Shamrock Rovers in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | Veikkausliiga | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 41 | 24 | +17 | 48 |
| 3 | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49 | 31 | +18 | 59 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Veikkausliiga · Premier Division
Head-to-head: KuPS vs Shamrock Rovers
- 20 August 2026Shamrock Rovers 1–1 KuPSUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: KuPS and Shamrock Rovers
KuPS
- J. Moreno5 goals
- J. Luyeye-Lutumba3 goals1 assist
- B. Armah3 goals
Shamrock Rovers
- J. McGovern7 goals5 assists
- G. Burke7 goals2 assists
- M. Noonan6 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.