27 August 2026, 19:00 UTC

Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Inver Park, Larne
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Larne 0-3 Lincoln Red Imps FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Larne, 31% draw, 43% Lincoln Red Imps FC — fair odds of 3.85, 3.23 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Lincoln Red Imps FC at 43% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Larne0%Draw1%Lincoln Red Imps FC99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

57'
🔁A. Coulibalyout: F. Alvarez
🔁D. Sloanout: C. McKendry
69'
🔁P. O'Neillout: M. Gibson
69'
Montel Gibson
71'
Matthew Lusty
73'
🔁M. Lustyout: K. O'Hara
77'
🔁J. Simpsonout: J. McEneff
77'
79'
🔁A. Mulaout: N. Pinto
80'
Bernardo Lopes
82'
⚽K. Gomezassist: J. Eersteling
84'
⚽M. Toledanoassist: Nano
Montel Gibson
87'
Montel Gibson
87'
Chris Gallagher
90+1'
90+3'
Nico Pinto
🔁R. Dohertyout: B. Magee
105'
107'
🔁G. Torrillaout: Joe
119'
Jaylan Hankins
🔁out: J. Ukek
120'
120+3'
🔁K. Gomezout: A. Romero Morillo
120'
⚽M. Toledano (pen)

Match stats — Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

11%Possession89%
2On target8
7Corners7

Line-ups

Larne 4-3-3
  • 1R. FergusonG
  • 23T. CosgroveD
  • 26D. BentM
  • 3M. RidleyD
  • 4A. DonnellyD
  • 15R. DohertyM
  • 6C. GallagherM
  • 47J. SimpsonM
  • 25D. SloanM
  • 9P. O'NeillF
  • 30M. LustyF
Substitutes
  • 2L. WallaceD
  • 7C. McKendryM
  • 8M. Randall
  • 14B. MageeM
  • 16J. CarneyG
  • 17J. UkekM
  • 19K. O'Hara
  • 22J. McEneffM
  • 45M. GibsonF
Coach: Gary Haveron
Lincoln Red Imps FC 3-5-2
  • 1Nauzet SantanaG
  • 21NanoM
  • 8MandiM
  • 66J. EerstelingD
  • 9K. GomezF
  • 3C. RutjensD
  • 6B. LopesD
  • 22G. TorrillaM
  • 17A. CoulibalyM
  • 44M. ToledanoF
  • 10A. MulaM
Substitutes
  • 4N. Pinto
  • 5T. CardozoD
  • 7L. CasciaroF
  • 11A. Romero Morillo
  • 13J. Hankins
  • 20E. BrittoD
  • 23JoeM
  • 27M. HammG
  • 32F. AlvarezF
Coach: Juan Bezares

Form going into Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

Larne

  • W2-0away to Lincoln Red Imps FC20 August 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Iberia 199911 August 2026
  • D0-0FC Iberia 19994 August 2026
  • L0-5away to FK Crvena Zvezda29 July 2026
  • L0-4FK Crvena Zvezda21 July 2026

Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • L0-2Larne20 August 2026

What these results say

  • Larne failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

  • 20 August 2026Lincoln Red Imps FC 0–2 LarneUEFA Europa Conference League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.