Olympique Akbou
vs
JS Kabylie
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: Olympique Akbou 1–0 JS Kabylie
The model makes it 42% Olympique Akbou, 28% draw, 30% JS Kabylie — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Olympique Akbou 1.50, JS Kabylie 1.21.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, under 2.5: 49%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,131 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 24 October 2026. Olympique Akbou's rating is built from 36 Ligue 1 (Algeria) matches and JS Kabylie's from 35, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Olympique Akbou are 6th on 10 points from 6 games; JS Kabylie are 4th on 10 points from 5 games — Ligue 1.
- Olympique Akbou are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 3-0 win at home to CS Constantine.
- JS Kabylie are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 4-1 win at home to US Biskra.
- Last 4 meetings: JS Kabylie 1 win to 0, 3 draws; the most recent, 22 April 2026, ended Olympique Akbou 1–1 JS Kabylie.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Olympique Akbou vs JS Kabylie
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Olympique Akbou at 42% here. Across 4,534 settled matches (as of 24 October 2026), 2,103 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Olympique Akbou vs JS Kabylie
Olympique Akbou
Ligue 1
- W3-0CS Constantine23 October 2026
- W2-1Ben Aknoun16 October 2026
- D0-0away to JS Saoura8 October 2026
- L2-3USM Alger19 September 2026
- L0-2away to MB Rouisset12 September 2026
JS Kabylie
Ligue 1
- W4-1US Biskra18 October 2026
- D1-1away to ES Setif14 October 2026
- W1-0ASO Chlef9 October 2026
- L0-1away to Témouchent17 September 2026
- W1-0MB Rouisset4 September 2026
What these results say
- JS Kabylie scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for JS Kabylie had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Olympique Akbou | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 | JS Kabylie | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Olympique Akbou vs JS Kabylie
- 22 April 2026Olympique Akbou 1–1 JS KabylieLigue 1
- 6 September 2025JS Kabylie 0–0 Olympique AkbouLigue 1
- 19 February 2025Olympique Akbou 0–0 JS KabylieLigue 1
- 27 September 2024JS Kabylie 2–1 Olympique AkbouLigue 1
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Olympique Akbou carry a model rating of 6.35 against 6.39 for JS Kabylie. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.50 goals for Olympique Akbou and 1.21 for JS Kabylie. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Olympique Akbou rate 0.58 in attack and 1.59 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; JS Kabylie rate 0.63 and 1.59.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour JS Kabylie, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Olympique Akbou a 3.4% chance of the title and JS Kabylie 9.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,209 correct results out of 4,585 settled predictions (48%), with 455 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
How the call on Olympique Akbou v JS Kabylie has moved
First published on 10 Oct at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). After 4 updates it reads 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is Olympique Akbou's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Olympique Akbou win42%▲ +2
- Draw28%▼ −1
- JS Kabylie win30%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Olympique Akbou the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.50 expected goals for Olympique Akbou against 1.21 for JS Kabylie. Olympique Akbou's attack/defence rating is 0.58/1.59 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/1.59 for JS Kabylie.
How the model reaches 42% for Olympique Akbou to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Olympique Akbou to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, Olympique Akbou's ratings take away 24 points and JS Kabylie's ratings add 22 points, which lands on the published 42%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Olympique Akbou's ratings20%−24
- JS Kabylie's ratings42%+22
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Olympique Akbou at home · JS Kabylie away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: Olympique Akbou 6, JS Kabylie 5.
Olympique Akbou score most often in the 46–60 minute window (7 goals); JS Kabylie have let in 0 there.
JS Kabylie score most often in the 31–45 minute window (4 goals); Olympique Akbou have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Olympique Akbou
- vs Témouchent7 Nov · Ligue 1win 57%
- at ASO Chlef21 Nov · Ligue 1win 38%
JS Kabylie
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.