CR Belouizdad
vs
CS Constantine
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: CR Belouizdad 2–1 CS Constantine
The model makes it 68% CR Belouizdad, 18% draw, 14% CS Constantine — fair odds of 1.47, 5.56 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: CR Belouizdad 2.90, CS Constantine 1.10.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%, under 2.5: 24%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,493 settled matches.
One-sided: CR Belouizdad are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 24 October 2026. CR Belouizdad's rating is built from 35 Ligue 1 (Algeria) matches and CS Constantine's from 37, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- CR Belouizdad are 2nd on 13 points from 5 games; CS Constantine are 9th on 7 points from 7 games — Ligue 1.
- CR Belouizdad are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 3-2 win away to JS El Biar.
- CS Constantine are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to Olympique Akbou.
- Last 6 meetings: CR Belouizdad 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 24 April 2026, ended CS Constantine 2–3 CR Belouizdad.
More Ligue 1 (Algeria) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: CR Belouizdad vs CS Constantine
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CR Belouizdad at 68% here. Across 4,534 settled matches (as of 24 October 2026), 368 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Form going into CR Belouizdad vs CS Constantine
CR Belouizdad
Ligue 1
- W3-2away to JS El Biar12 October 2026
- W1-0Khenchela7 October 2026
- W1-0away to US Biskra17 September 2026
- W1-0ES Setif11 September 2026
- D3-3away to ASO Chlef5 September 2026
CS Constantine
Ligue 1
- L0-3away to Olympique Akbou23 October 2026
- L2-4JS El Biar17 October 2026
- L0-2away to Khenchela12 October 2026
- W4-0US Biskra7 October 2026
- L1-5away to ES Setif19 September 2026
What these results say
- CR Belouizdad went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- CR Belouizdad scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- CR Belouizdad won 4 of these 5 matches.
- CS Constantine failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- CS Constantine conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for CS Constantine had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CR Belouizdad | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 13 |
| 9 | CS Constantine | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: CR Belouizdad vs CS Constantine
- 24 April 2026CS Constantine 2–3 CR BelouizdadCoupe Nationale
- 26 February 2026CS Constantine 0–0 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
- 28 September 2025CR Belouizdad 2–2 CS ConstantineLigue 1
- 12 June 2025CS Constantine 0–2 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
- 30 January 2025CR Belouizdad 0–2 CS ConstantineLigue 1
- 17 May 2024CS Constantine 1–1 CR BelouizdadLigue 1
The two sides
CR Belouizdad carry a model rating of 6.52 against 6.21 for CS Constantine. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.90 goals for CR Belouizdad and 1.10 for CS Constantine. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
CR Belouizdad rate 0.75 in attack and 1.45 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; CS Constantine rate 0.63 and 2.38.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives CR Belouizdad a 41.4% chance of the title and CS Constantine 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,209 correct results out of 4,585 settled predictions (48%), with 455 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CR Belouizdad the highest probability at 68%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.90 expected goals for CR Belouizdad against 1.10 for CS Constantine. CR Belouizdad's attack/defence rating is 0.75/1.45 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.63/2.38 for CS Constantine.
How the model reaches 68% for CR Belouizdad to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for CR Belouizdad to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, CR Belouizdad's ratings take away 17 points and CS Constantine's ratings add 41 points, which lands on the published 68%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- CR Belouizdad's ratings27%−17
- CS Constantine's ratings68%+41
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
CR Belouizdad at home · CS Constantine away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: CR Belouizdad 5, CS Constantine 7.
CR Belouizdad score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); CS Constantine have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
CR Belouizdad
- at Ben Aknoun8 Nov · Ligue 1win 43%
CS Constantine
- at JS Saoura8 Nov · Ligue 1win 24%
- at MB Rouisset21 Nov · Ligue 1win 23%
- vs MC Oran28 Nov · Ligue 1win 32%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.