Liga Profesional Argentina · Clausura - 3 · 4 August 2026, 00:15 UTC

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo

Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades, Santiago del Estero

The model makes it 42% Central Cordoba de Santiago, 26% draw, 32% San Lorenzo — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Central Cordoba de Santiago 1.56, San Lorenzo 1.35.

Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 56%, under 2.5: 44%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

59%
Both teams to score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 12%2-1 9%1-0 8%

Head-to-head: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo

  • 31 January 2026San Lorenzo 1–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 23 November 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–1 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 1 November 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–1 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 14 April 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–0 San LorenzoCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 27 November 2023San Lorenzo 2–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 12 June 2023San Lorenzo 0–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Central Cordoba de Santiago the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.56 expected goals for Central Cordoba de Santiago against 1.35 for San Lorenzo. Central Cordoba de Santiago's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.61 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/1.15 for San Lorenzo.