Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Central Cordoba de Santiago 1-0 San Lorenzo.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Central Cordoba de Santiago, 26% draw, 32% San Lorenzo — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Liga Profesional Argentina predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Central Cordoba de Santiago at 42% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25Javier VallejosG
- 33Santiago MoyanoD
- 2Alejandro MacielD
- 6Facundo MansillaD
- 20Fernando MartínezD
- 22Matías VeraM
- 11Horacio TijanovichM
- 10Marco IacobellisM
- 18Lucas GonzálezM
- 7Diego BarreraM
- 27Michael SantosF
- 9Lucas VaraldoF
- 17Yuri CasermeiroD
- 3Leonardo MarchiD
- 5Tiago CraveroM
- 55Juan CardozoM
- 12Máximo ÁlvarezG
- 13José GomézD
- 30Federico RodriguezM
- 37Alan LapridaF
- 12Orlando GillG
- 30Nahuel AriasD
- 19Emiliano AmorD
- 35Alejo CordobaD
- 6Mathias de RitisD
- 22Juan ÁlvarezM
- 24Nicolás TripichioM
- 13Juan RattalinoM
- 11Matias RealiM
- 29Rodrigo AuzmendiF
- 9Alexis CuelloF
- 21Gustavo del PreteF
- 15Mauricio CardilloM
- 18Diego HerazoF
- 10Facundo GulliM
- 25José DevecchiG
- 16Guzmán CorujoD
- 42Franco LorenzonD
- 3Teo Rodríguez PaganoD
- 14Agustin LadstatterF
Form going into Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Atletico Tucuman31 July 2026
- L0-1away to Gimnasia Mendoza24 July 2026
San Lorenzo
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Gimnasia Mendoza28 July 2026
- L0-1away to Lanus26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 10 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo
- 31 January 2026San Lorenzo 1–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 23 November 2025Central Cordoba de Santiago 2–1 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 1 November 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–1 San LorenzoLiga Profesional Argentina
- 14 April 2024Central Cordoba de Santiago 0–0 San LorenzoCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 27 November 2023San Lorenzo 2–0 Central Cordoba de SantiagoCopa de la Liga Profesional
The full Central Cordoba de Santiago vs San Lorenzo record →
Leading scorers: Central Cordoba de Santiago and San Lorenzo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
GoalsAssists
- M. Santos92
San Lorenzo
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Central Cordoba de Santiago beat San Lorenzo 1–0. The model had made a win for Central Cordoba de Santiago its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: M. Santos 31' for Central Cordoba de Santiago. On expected goals it finished 0.82–0.72.