11 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Full time2 – 1

Final score: NEC Nijmegen 2-1 Olympiakos Piraeus.

Before kick-off the model made it 62% NEC Nijmegen, 21% draw, 17% Olympiakos Piraeus — fair odds of 1.61, 4.76 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Olympiakos Piraeus 0–0 NEC Nijmegen (4 Aug) →

NEC Nijmegen went through 2–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

NEC Nijmegen at 62%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

NEC Nijmegen8%Draw90%Olympiakos Piraeus2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

12'
Dani García
15'
🔁Jota Silvaout: K. Fortounis
🔁S. Ouaissaout: E. Mor
30'
🔁P. Sandlerout: B. Pereira
34'
46'
⚽A. El Kaabi
55'
Rodinei
59'
Gustavo Sá
61'
🔁G. Saout: C. Mouzakitis
⚽B. Linssenassist: D. Tadic
70'
72'
🔁D. Garciaout: L. Scipioni
72'
🔁G. Martinsout: J. Roca
79'
•Kostas Fortounis
80'
Kostas Fortounis
Brayann Pereira
88'
🔁C. Bischoffout: K. Sierhuis
88'
Kaj Sierhuis
90+4'
•Kaj Sierhuis
90+4'
⚽E. Morassist: K. Sierhuis
95'
103'
🔁out: Chiquinho
103'
🔁P. Retsosout: Z. Smajlovic
🔁B. Linssenout: J. Monteiro
106'
🔁N. Lebretonout: B. Nuytinck
106'
🔁out: K. Kers
106'
111'
Lorenzo Scipioni

Match stats — NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus

54%Possession46%
16Shots10
7On target2
3Corners4

Line-ups

NEC Nijmegen 3-1-4-2
  • 1G. CrettazG
  • 21T. StormD
  • 3P. SandlerD
  • 24D. FonvilleD
  • 6D. NejasmicM
  • 25S. OuaissaM
  • 20N. LebretonM
  • 10D. TadicM
  • 99C. BischoffM
  • 9T. CheryF
  • 30B. LinssenF
Substitutes
  • 36F. EntiusG
  • 38J. Geneste
  • 35J. MonteiroM
  • 8I. Hansen-AaroenM
  • 17B. NuytinckD
  • 7E. MorF
  • 5T. OuwejanD
  • 14K. SierhuisF
  • 11W. T. WillumssonM
Coach: Dick Schreuder
Olympiakos Piraeus 4-2-3-1
  • 31B. PopovicG
  • 23RodineiD
  • 45P. RetsosD
  • 5L. PirolaD
  • 70B. OnyemaechiD
  • 14D. GarciaM
  • 32S. HezzeM
  • 10G. MartinsM
  • 8G. SaM
  • 20Jota SilvaM
  • 9A. El KaabiF
Substitutes
  • 1S. OrtegaG
  • 91D. StournarasG
  • 2M. SaliakasD
  • 16L. ScipioniM
  • 96C. MouzakitisM
  • 77C. FilisM
  • 7K. FortounisM
  • 25P. MaffeoD
  • 22ChiquinhoM
Coach: Luis Mendilibar Jose

Form going into NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus

NEC Nijmegen

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Telstar8 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Olympiakos Piraeus4 August 2026

Olympiakos Piraeus

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0NEC Nijmegen4 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: NEC Nijmegen vs Olympiakos Piraeus

  • 4 August 2026Olympiakos Piraeus 0–0 NEC NijmegenUEFA Champions League
  • 27 July 2024NEC Nijmegen 0–2 Olympiakos PiraeusFriendlies Clubs

The result against the call

NEC Nijmegen beat Olympiakos Piraeus 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for NEC Nijmegen at 62%. The goals: A. El Kaabi 46' for Olympiakos Piraeus, B. Linssen 70' for NEC Nijmegen, E. Mor 95' for NEC Nijmegen. Sent off: Kostas Fortounis (Olympiakos Piraeus) 80'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.