Odra Opole
vs
Slask Wroclaw
Cup prediction
Our model says: Odra Opole 0–1 Slask Wroclaw
The model makes it 30% Odra Opole, 31% draw, 39% Slask Wroclaw — fair odds of 3.33, 3.23 and 2.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Odra Opole 0.96, Slask Wroclaw 1.20.
Both teams to score: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 37%, under 2.5: 63%.
Model confidence: Low.
Edge to Slask Wroclaw: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Key facts
- Odra Opole are 11th in I Liga on 12 points from 10 games; Slask Wroclaw are 17th in Ekstraklasa on 6 points from 10 games.
- Odra Opole have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Miedz Legnica.
- Slask Wroclaw have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-4 defeat at home to Lech Poznan.
- Last 3 meetings: Slask Wroclaw 1 win to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 11 July 2026, ended Slask Wroclaw 0–0 Odra Opole.
Chance to go through
Cup Round of 32 — a single match: the winner goes through.
- Odra Opole29%
- Level after ninety minutes30%
- Slask Wroclaw41%
The model's chance of each side going through in ninety minutes. Level means extra time or penalties, which it does not forecast. A new figure: not yet checked against settled ties, so read it as an estimate, not a record.
More Polish Cup predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Odra Opole vs Slask Wroclaw
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slask Wroclaw at 39% here. Across 3,740 settled matches (as of 15 October 2026), 2,920 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Odra Opole vs Slask Wroclaw
Odra Opole
- W1-0Miedz Legnica11 October 2026
- L0-1away to Nieciecza19 September 2026
- L0-1Stal Rzeszów13 September 2026
- D1-1away to Stal Mielec5 September 2026
- D0-0ŁKS Łódź28 August 2026
Slask Wroclaw
- L1-4Lech Poznan10 October 2026
- L1-2away to Wisla Krakow18 September 2026
- L1-2Korona Kielce12 September 2026
- L1-2away to Jagiellonia6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Legia Warszawa28 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for Odra Opole had two goals or fewer.
- Odra Opole failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Slask Wroclaw did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Slask Wroclaw scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Slask Wroclaw conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Odra Opole and Slask Wroclaw in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Odra Opole | I Liga | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | Ekstraklasa | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 6 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: I Liga · Ekstraklasa
Head-to-head: Odra Opole vs Slask Wroclaw
- 11 July 2026Slask Wroclaw 0–0 Odra OpoleFriendlies Clubs
- 22 February 2026Slask Wroclaw 3–0 Odra OpoleI Liga
- 17 August 2025Odra Opole 1–1 Slask WroclawI Liga
Leading scorers: Odra Opole and Slask Wroclaw
Odra Opole
No player in I Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Slask Wroclaw
GoalsAssists
- P. Samiec-Talar43
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Odra Opole carry a model rating of 6.27 against 6.48 for Slask Wroclaw. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.96 goals for Odra Opole and 1.20 for Slask Wroclaw. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Odra Opole rate 0.39 in attack and 1.36 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Slask Wroclaw rate 0.73 and 1.52.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,790 correct results out of 3,756 settled predictions (48%), with 377 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Slask Wroclaw the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.96 expected goals for Odra Opole against 1.20 for Slask Wroclaw. Odra Opole's attack/defence rating is 0.39/1.36 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.73/1.52 for Slask Wroclaw.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Odra Opole at home · Slask Wroclaw away
League matches only, this season — Odra Opole in the I Liga, Slask Wroclaw in the Ekstraklasa. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All league matches this season: Odra Opole 10 in the I Liga, Slask Wroclaw 10 in the Ekstraklasa.
Odra Opole score most often in the 0–15 minute window (4 goals); Slask Wroclaw have let in 1 there.
Slask Wroclaw score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Odra Opole have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Odra Opole
- at Polonia Bytom2 Nov · I Ligawin 27%
- vs Unia Skierniewice6 Nov · I Ligawin 44%
- at Lechia Gdansk21 Nov · I Ligawin 17%
- vs Polonia Warszawa28 Nov · I Ligawin 37%
Slask Wroclaw
- at Radomiak Radom31 Oct · Ekstraklasawin 33%
- vs Piast Gliwice7 Nov · Ekstraklasawin 35%
- at Pogon Szczecin21 Nov · Ekstraklasawin 18%
- vs GKS Katowice28 Nov · Ekstraklasawin 29%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.