Odense
vs
Silkeborg
Superliga prediction
Our model says: Odense 2–1 Silkeborg
The model makes it 39% Odense, 26% draw, 35% Silkeborg — fair odds of 2.56, 3.85 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Odense 1.58, Silkeborg 1.47.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: Low.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Key facts
- Odense are 9th on 10 points from 10 games; Silkeborg are 7th on 11 points from 10 games — Superliga.
- Odense are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to FC Nordsjaelland.
- Silkeborg are unbeaten in their last 5 games (1 won), most recently a 3-3 draw at home to AC Horsens.
- Last 6 meetings: Silkeborg 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 10 August 2026, ended Silkeborg 1–0 Odense.
More Danish Superliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Odense vs Silkeborg
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Odense at 39% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 3,180 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Odense vs Silkeborg
Odense
- D0-0away to FC Nordsjaelland9 October 2026
- D1-1FC Midtjylland19 September 2026
- W2-1away to Randers FC13 September 2026
- L0-5FC Copenhagen6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Lyngby30 August 2026
Silkeborg
- D3-3AC Horsens11 October 2026
- W4-0away to Lyngby18 September 2026
- D1-1Viborg13 September 2026
- D2-2away to Aarhus5 September 2026
- D1-1FC Midtjylland30 August 2026
What these results say
- Odense failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Odense conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Silkeborg went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Silkeborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Silkeborg failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Odense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 10 |
| 7 | Silkeborg | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Odense vs Silkeborg
- 10 August 2026Silkeborg 1–0 OdenseSuperliga
- 3 May 2026Odense 2–3 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 12 April 2026Silkeborg 3–1 OdenseSuperliga
- 7 November 2025Odense 1–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 14 September 2025Silkeborg 2–1 OdenseSuperliga
- 24 January 2025Silkeborg 2–2 OdenseFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Odense and Silkeborg
Odense
No player in Superliga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Silkeborg
GoalsAssists
- O. Ross61
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Odense carry a model rating of 6.46 against 6.49 for Silkeborg. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.58 goals for Odense and 1.47 for Silkeborg. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Odense rate 0.59 in attack and 1.32 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Silkeborg rate 0.74 and 1.54.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Silkeborg, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Odense the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.58 expected goals for Odense against 1.47 for Silkeborg. Odense's attack/defence rating is 0.59/1.32 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.74/1.54 for Silkeborg.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Odense at home · Silkeborg away
League matches only, Superliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
OdenseSilkeborg
Odense are 9th after 10 Superliga matches (between 5th and 12th so far); Silkeborg are 7th after 10 (between 6th and 10th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Superliga matches this season: Odense 10, Silkeborg 10.
Odense score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); Silkeborg have let in 4 there.
Silkeborg score most often in the 31–45 minute window (4 goals); Odense have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Odense
- vs Viborg7 Nov · Superligawin 28%
- at Sonderjyske22 Nov · Superligawin 36%
- vs FC Nordsjaelland30 Nov · Superligawin 28%
Silkeborg
- vs Lyngby6 Nov · Superligawin 50%
- at AC Horsens22 Nov · Superligawin 30%
- vs Aarhus29 Nov · Superligawin 33%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.