FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland Superliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 2-3 FC Midtjylland.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% FC Nordsjaelland, 27% draw, 43% FC Midtjylland — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FC Midtjylland at 43%: of 2,924 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.0% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 13A. HansenG
- 2P. AnkersenD
- 3T. SalquistD
- 4Noah MarkmannD
- 23R. NorheimM
- 18Justin JanssenM
- 8N. RøjkjærM
- 5J. LähteenmäkiM
- 37Lamine SadioF
- 11A. LindF
- 14Ibrahim AdelF
- 28M. WalkerD
- 29V. BerthelsenM
- 15S. AcquahD
- 40H. Boe RasmussenM
- 6M. BrinkM
- 16J. BuskG
- 25V. NelssonD
- 9O. SolbakkenF
- 21M. HeydeM
- 25N. BakkerG
- 4O. DiaoD
- 2A. MaxsøD
- 22M. BechD
- 5R. KristensenM
- 19P. BravoM
- 8P. BillingM
- 55V. Bak JensenM
- 9M. RajovićF
- 18S. IheanachoF
- 90F. EtimF
- 21D. CastilloM
- 10Cho Gue-SungF
- 30O. EjeheriG
- 20Hong Hyun-SeokM
- 27S. JohannesenM
- 17M. UhreF
- 29K. WätjenM
- 15B. Dje Bi DjeD
- 38J. EmefileM
Form going into FC Nordsjaelland vs FC Midtjylland
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
- D1-1away to Silkeborg25 October 2026
- D3-3away to Lyngby18 October 2026
- D0-0Odense9 October 2026
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
- W3-2Lyngby25 October 2026
- W2-1away to Viborg19 October 2026
- W2-1FC Copenhagen11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 23 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 17 | +12 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Midtjylland vs FC Nordsjaelland
FC Midtjylland and FC Nordsjaelland have met 7 times in the records we hold, FC Midtjylland has won 3 of them to FC Nordsjaelland's 2, with 2 drawn.
The record
FC Midtjylland won the last one 3–2 on 1 Nov 2026.
| Club | W | D | L | GF | GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 17 |
Between them these 7 meetings produced 25 goals, an average of 3.57 a game.
Every meeting
Every recorded meeting, newest first.
- 1 Nov 2026
SuperligaFC Nordsjaelland 2–3 FC Midtjylland - 7 Sep 2026
SuperligaFC Midtjylland 2–2 FC Nordsjaelland - 10 May 2026
SuperligaFC Nordsjaelland 0–0 FC Midtjylland - 15 Mar 2026
SuperligaFC Midtjylland 0–1 FC Nordsjaelland - 14 Dec 2025
DBU PokalenFC Nordsjaelland 2–1 FC Midtjylland - 4 Dec 2025
DBU PokalenFC Midtjylland 5–1 FC Nordsjaelland - 30 Nov 2025
SuperligaFC Midtjylland 6–0 FC Nordsjaelland
How the model rates them now
On the current ratings, FC Midtjylland's attack rates 18% above FC Nordsjaelland's, and FC Midtjylland concede 9% fewer than FC Nordsjaelland. That gives FC Midtjylland the edge at both ends. How the ratings are derived.
| Club | Attack | Defence |
|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland | 1.03 | 1.05 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 0.87 | 1.16 |
Leading scorers: FC Nordsjaelland and FC Midtjylland
FC Nordsjaelland
GoalsAssists
- A. Lind63
- Ibrahim Adel43
- H. Boe Rasmussen42
FC Midtjylland
GoalsAssists
- F. Etim63
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Midtjylland won 3–2 at FC Nordsjaelland. The model had made a win for FC Midtjylland its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Justin Janssen 6' for FC Nordsjaelland, Ibrahim Adel 34' for FC Nordsjaelland, Tobias Salquist (own goal) 66' for FC Midtjylland, Kjell-Arik Wätjen 74' for FC Midtjylland, Sofus Johannesen 90+5' for FC Midtjylland. On expected goals it finished 3.76–2.22.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Nordsjaelland a 90.7% chance to finish in the top six: 95.8% after a win, 91.0% after a draw, 88.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 88.1%, 2.6 points lower than before the match.
For FC Midtjylland the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 65.9% going in: 74.3% after a win, 62.8% after a draw, 55.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 74.3%, 8.4 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Superliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.