Odense
vs
Brondby
Superliga prediction
Our model says: Odense 0–1 Brondby
The model makes it 34% Odense, 29% draw, 37% Brondby — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Odense 1.31, Brondby 1.39.
Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.
Model confidence: Low.
A tight game: Odense and Brondby are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Key facts
- Odense are 9th on 9 points from 9 games; Brondby are 5th on 13 points from 9 games — Superliga.
- Odense have won 1 of their last 5, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to FC Midtjylland.
- Brondby are without a win in 4, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to FC Copenhagen.
- Last 6 meetings: Brondby 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 11 July 2026, ended Brondby 4–0 Odense.
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Odense vs Brondby
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Brondby at 37% here. Across 3,018 settled matches (as of 4 October 2026), 2,372 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Odense vs Brondby
Odense
- D1-1FC Midtjylland19 September 2026
- W2-1away to Randers FC13 September 2026
- L0-5FC Copenhagen6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Lyngby30 August 2026
- D2-2away to Aarhus23 August 2026
Brondby
- L0-1FC Copenhagen20 September 2026
- L1-4away to FC Midtjylland14 September 2026
- L0-3Randers FC6 September 2026
- L1-3away to FC Nordsjaelland30 August 2026
- W3-1Silkeborg24 August 2026
What these results say
- Odense conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Odense failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Odense scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Brondby conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Brondby failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Brondby had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Odense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 5 | Brondby | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Odense vs Brondby
- 11 July 2026Brondby 4–0 OdenseFriendlies Clubs
- 1 February 2026Brondby 1–1 OdenseFriendlies Clubs
- 27 October 2025Odense 1–4 BrondbySuperliga
- 28 September 2025Brondby 5–1 OdenseSuperliga
- 25 February 2024Odense 0–3 BrondbySuperliga
- 30 July 2023Brondby 1–2 OdenseSuperliga
Leading scorers: Odense and Brondby
Odense
No player in Superliga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Brondby
- O. Hyseni3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Odense carry a model rating of 6.45 against 6.55 for Brondby. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.31 goals for Odense and 1.39 for Brondby. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Odense rate 0.62 in attack and 1.39 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Brondby rate 0.66 and 1.21.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Odense a 0% chance of the title and Brondby 0.3%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,418 correct results out of 3,018 settled predictions (47%), with 294 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Brondby the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.31 expected goals for Odense against 1.39 for Brondby. Odense's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.39 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.66/1.21 for Brondby.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Odense at home · Brondby away
League matches only, Superliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Superliga matches this season: Odense 9, Brondby 9.
Odense score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); Brondby have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Odense
- at FC Copenhagen26 Oct · Superligawin 19%
- vs Silkeborg1 Nov · Superligawin 38%
- vs Viborg7 Nov · Superligawin 31%
- at Sonderjyske22 Nov · Superligawin 34%
Brondby
- at Randers FC23 Oct · Superligawin 37%
- vs Aarhus1 Nov · Superligawin 36%
- at FC Copenhagen8 Nov · Superligawin 23%
- vs FC Midtjylland23 Nov · Superligawin 27%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.