Regular Season - 30 · 29 November 2026, 14:00 UTC

Malmo FF vs IF Brommapojkarna Allsvenskan prediction

Eleda Stadion, Malmö

Our model says: Malmo FF 2–1 IF Brommapojkarna

The model makes it 47% Malmo FF, 26% draw, 27% IF Brommapojkarna — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Malmo FF 1.72, IF Brommapojkarna 1.16.

Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Malmo FF's rating is built from 58 Allsvenskan matches and IF Brommapojkarna's from 58, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 708 matches.

Key facts

  • Malmo FF are 7th on 41 points from 28 games; IF Brommapojkarna are 11th on 35 points from 28 games — Allsvenskan.
  • Malmo FF have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to IFK Goteborg.
  • IF Brommapojkarna are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Mjallby AIF.
  • Last 6 meetings: Malmo FF 4 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 2 August 2026, ended IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 Malmo FF.

More Allsvenskan predictions

All Allsvenskan predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Malmo FF vs IF Brommapojkarna

57%
Both teams to score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Malmo FF win Draw IF Brommapojkarna win
  1. 1–112%
  2. 2–110%
  3. 1–09%
  4. 2–08%
  5. 1–26%
  6. 0–06%
  7. 0–16%

Scores read Malmo FF first; the other scorelines share the remaining 42%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Malmo FF at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Malmo FF vs IF Brommapojkarna

Malmo FF

Allsvenskan

  • D0-0away to IFK Goteborg8 November 2026
  • L1-2Hammarby FF1 November 2026
  • W3-0away to Halmstad28 October 2026
  • D0-0away to IF Elfsborg23 October 2026
  • L0-1BK Hacken18 October 2026

IF Brommapojkarna

Allsvenskan

  • D0-0Mjallby AIF8 November 2026
  • L0-1away to Vasteras SK FK1 November 2026
  • D0-0BK Hacken28 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Kalmar FF24 October 2026
  • L0-2Djurgardens IF16 October 2026

What these results say

  • Malmo FF failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • IF Brommapojkarna failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • IF Brommapojkarna failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for IF Brommapojkarna had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Malmo FF28125114236+641
11IF Brommapojkarna2898113944-535

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: Malmo FF vs IF Brommapojkarna

  • 2 August 2026IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
  • 26 July 2025IF Brommapojkarna 2–3 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
  • 5 May 2025Malmo FF 1–2 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 10 November 2024Malmo FF 2–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 1 June 2024IF Brommapojkarna 2–2 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
  • 2 October 2023Malmo FF 2–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Malmo FF and IF Brommapojkarna

Malmo FF

GoalsAssists

  • E. Botheim103

IF Brommapojkarna

GoalsAssists

  • M. Hansen87

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Malmo FF IF Brommapojkarna
0.64 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.64
1.32 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.67
1.72 Model expected goals (this match) 1.16

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Malmo FF the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.72 expected goals for Malmo FF against 1.16 for IF Brommapojkarna. Malmo FF's attack/defence rating is 0.64/1.32 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.67 for IF Brommapojkarna.

How the model reaches 47% for Malmo FF to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Malmo FF to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, Malmo FF's ratings add 2 points and IF Brommapojkarna's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 47%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage41%+5
  3. Malmo FF's ratings43%+2
  4. IF Brommapojkarna's ratings47%+4

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Malmo FFIF Brommapojkarna
28Matches28
12W 5D 11LRecord9W 8D 11L
42 1.5 per gameGoals scored39 1.4 per game
36 1.3 per gameGoals conceded44 1.6 per game
11 of 28Clean sheets5 of 28
6 of 28Failed to score8 of 28
0 of 1Penalties scored1 of 2
62 2.2 per gameYellow cards43 1.5 per game
2Red cards2
4-1-4-1 8×Usual shape4-4-2 15×

Malmo FF at home · IF Brommapojkarna away

14Played14
5W 1D 8LRecord5W 3D 6L
26–23Goals for – against24–29
3 of 14Clean sheets1 of 14

League matches only, Allsvenskan, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Allsvenskan matches this season: Malmo FF 28, IF Brommapojkarna 28.

Malmo FF scored 676894
IF Brommapojkarna conceded 4659811

Malmo FF score most often in the 61–75 minute window (9 goals); IF Brommapojkarna have let in 8 there.

IF Brommapojkarna scored 4816912
Malmo FF conceded 847946

IF Brommapojkarna score most often in the 76–90 minute window (12 goals); Malmo FF have let in 6 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.