Halmstad
vs
Mjallby AIF
Allsvenskan prediction
Our model says: Halmstad 0–1 Mjallby AIF
The model makes it 30% Halmstad, 30% draw, 40% Mjallby AIF — fair odds of 3.33, 3.33 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Halmstad 1.03, Mjallby AIF 1.29.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Edge to Mjallby AIF: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Halmstad's rating is built from 58 Allsvenskan matches and Mjallby AIF's from 58, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 708 matches.
Key facts
- Halmstad are bottom on 20 points from 28 games; Mjallby AIF are 12th on 28 points from 28 games — Allsvenskan.
- Halmstad have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win at home to Djurgardens IF.
- Mjallby AIF are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to IF Brommapojkarna.
- Last 5 meetings: Mjallby AIF 4 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 24 June 2026, ended Mjallby AIF 3–3 Halmstad.
More Allsvenskan predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Halmstad vs Mjallby AIF
Has the model earned this number?
Mjallby AIF at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Halmstad vs Mjallby AIF
Halmstad
Allsvenskan
- W2-1Djurgardens IF8 November 2026
- L0-2away to Sirius3 November 2026
- L0-3Malmo FF28 October 2026
- W2-1away to Vasteras SK FK23 October 2026
- L0-1Hammarby FF18 October 2026
Mjallby AIF
Allsvenskan
- D0-0away to IF Brommapojkarna8 November 2026
- D0-0Kalmar FF2 November 2026
- W2-1away to Orgryte IS29 October 2026
- L0-2Hammarby FF25 October 2026
- L0-1away to Vasteras SK FK18 October 2026
What these results say
- Halmstad conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Mjallby AIF failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Mjallby AIF failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Mjallby AIF had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Halmstad | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 20 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Halmstad vs Mjallby AIF
- 24 June 2026Mjallby AIF 3–3 HalmstadFriendlies Clubs
- 27 April 2026Mjallby AIF 2–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 30 August 2025Mjallby AIF 1–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 23 April 2025Halmstad 1–3 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
- 2 March 2025Mjallby AIF 3–0 HalmstadSvenska Cupen
Leading scorers: Halmstad and Mjallby AIF
Halmstad
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Mjallby AIF
GoalsAssists
- J. Bergström100
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Mjallby AIF the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.03 expected goals for Halmstad against 1.29 for Mjallby AIF. Halmstad's attack/defence rating is 0.41/1.85 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/1.56 for Mjallby AIF.
How the model reaches 40% for Mjallby AIF to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Mjallby AIF to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Halmstad's ratings add 5 points and Mjallby AIF's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 40%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage32%−5
- Both sides at this match's level31%−1
- Halmstad's ratings36%+5
- Mjallby AIF's ratings40%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Halmstad at home · Mjallby AIF away
League matches only, Allsvenskan, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Allsvenskan matches this season: Halmstad 28, Mjallby AIF 28.
Halmstad score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Mjallby AIF have let in 5 there.
Mjallby AIF score most often in the 46–60 minute window (9 goals); Halmstad have let in 14 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Halmstad
No further matches on our board yet.
Mjallby AIF
- vs Pafos10 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 23%
- at Atalanta17 Dec · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 6%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.