23 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Maccabi Tel Aviv UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Sheriff Stadium, Tiraspol
Full time0 – 5

Final score: Sheriff Tiraspol 0-5 Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Before kick-off the model made it 22% Sheriff Tiraspol, 43% draw, 35% Maccabi Tel Aviv — fair odds of 4.55, 2.33 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Maccabi Tel Aviv v Sheriff Tiraspol, 30 Jul →

Maccabi Tel Aviv went through 6–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts the draw at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

5'
⚽S. Abu Farkhiassist: I. Shahar
Baye Assane Ciss
17'
29'
⚽D. Peretzassist: R. Revivo
🔁Sapataout: V. Fratea
46'
🔁B. Cissout: B. Fomba
46'
48'
Sagiv Jehezkel
53'
⚽S. Jehezkelassist: R. Revivo
Miguel Mota
60'
64'
🔁I. Shaharout: K. Belic
64'
🔁S. Jehezkelout: H. Varela
64'
🔁I. Noyout: O. Davida
🔁Motaout: M. Ouedraogo
66'
🔁A. Pergjoniout: S. Kone
66'
72'
🔁out: D. Glazer
Soumaila Magassouba
73'
74'
⚽S. Abu Farkhi (pen)
Mamoutou Ouedraogo
76'
Danila Forov
77'
78'
⚽I. Sissokho
🔁L. Jaures-Ulrichout: J. Modelo
80'
80'
🔁I. Ben Hamoout: T. Asante

Line-ups

Sheriff Tiraspol 3-5-2
  • 1E. TimburG
  • 15B. CissD
  • 29S. MagassoubaD
  • 6RaiD
  • 22MotaD
  • 76A. PergjoniM
  • 26D. KlasM
  • 11SapataM
  • 24D. ForovM
  • 19J. Asprilla MorenoF
  • 42L. Jaures-UlrichM
Substitutes
  • 12R. JosanG
  • 28N. CebotariG
  • 2M. OuedraogoD
  • 4N. SwenD
  • 7V. FrateaM
  • 10Ze FloresM
  • 17V. NihaevM
  • 27V. CozmaM
  • 35B. FombaD
Coach: Victor Mihailov
Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-5-2
  • 22O. MelikaG
  • 41I. Ben HamoD
  • 5M. CamaraD
  • 13R. ShlomoD
  • 11S. JehezkelD
  • 36I. ShaharM
  • 28I. SissokhoM
  • 30I. NoyM
  • 3R. RevivoD
  • 34S. Abu FarkhiF
  • 42D. PeretzM
Substitutes
  • 90R. MishpatiG
  • 6T. AsanteD
  • 17K. BelicM
  • 18D. GlazerM
  • 19E. MadmonF
  • 21N. Ben HarushD
  • 23O. N. Azo
  • 24N. SchwartzD
  • 25S. RosenD
Coach: Ronny Deila

Leading scorers: Sheriff Tiraspol and Maccabi Tel Aviv

Sheriff Tiraspol

No leading scorers listed yet.

Maccabi Tel Aviv

GoalsAssists

  • Dor Peretz61
  • E. Madmon22
  • O. Davida21

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Maccabi Tel Aviv won 5–0 at Sheriff Tiraspol. The model had leaned towards a draw at 43% and given a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv 35%. The goals: S. Abu Farkhi 5' for Maccabi Tel Aviv, D. Peretz 29' for Maccabi Tel Aviv, S. Jehezkel 53' for Maccabi Tel Aviv, S. Abu Farkhi (penalty) 74' for Maccabi Tel Aviv, I. Sissokho 78' for Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.