6 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 CSKA Sofia.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Maccabi Tel Aviv, 27% draw, 25% CSKA Sofia — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: CSKA Sofia v Maccabi Tel Aviv, 13 Aug →

CSKA Sofia went through 4–3 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Maccabi Tel Aviv0%Draw1%CSKA Sofia99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
⚽M. Ebongassist: L. Godoy
18'
Bruno Jordão
29'
⚽L. Godoyassist: I. Pittas
Saied Abu Farchi
31'
Mohamed Camara
43'
🔁I. Ben Hamoout: T. Asante
46'
🔁S. Rosenout: N. Ben Harush
46'
54'
Ioannis Pittas
🔁S. Abu Farkhiout: E. Sokler
66'
🔁I. Shaharout: O. Davida
66'
66'
🔁I. Pittasout: J. Zwarts
66'
🔁B. Jordaoout: J. Eto'o
🔁H. Varelaout: E. Madmon
77'
78'
🔁L. Godoyout: M. Brahimi
Raz Shlomo
85'
85'
Joël Zwarts
90+4'
Stefano Sensi
90+1'
🔁Pastorout: Leo Pereira
90'
⚽J. Zwartsassist: Pastor

Match stats — Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia

49%Possession51%
2On target7
2Corners2

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-2-3-1
  • 22O. MelikaG
  • 41I. Ben HamoD
  • 5M. CamaraD
  • 13R. ShlomoD
  • 25S. RosenD
  • 30I. NoyM
  • 36I. ShaharM
  • 28I. SissokhoM
  • 42D. PeretzM
  • 29H. VarelaM
  • 34S. Abu FarkhiF
Substitutes
  • 90R. MishpatiG
  • 6T. AsanteD
  • 9E. SoklerF
  • 10K. AndradeM
  • 18D. GlazerM
  • 19E. MadmonF
  • 21N. Ben HarushD
  • 23O. N. Azo
  • 24N. SchwartzD
Coach: Kenny Miller
CSKA Sofia 4-3-3
  • 21F. Lapoukhov
  • 2PastorD
  • 14T. IvanovD
  • 32F. RodriguezD
  • 17A. MartinoD
  • 7M. EbongM
  • 6B. JordaoM
  • 8S. SensiM
  • 5J. GbaminD
  • 9L. GodoyF
  • 28I. PittasF
Substitutes
  • 25D. EvtimovG
  • 10J. ZwartsF
  • 11M. BrahimiM
  • 19A. YordanovD
  • 30P. PanayotovM
  • 34V. KaymakanovM
  • 38Leo PereiraM
  • 77A. PiedrahitaM
  • 80G. B. ChorbadzhiyskiM
Coach: Hristo Yanev

Form going into Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia

Maccabi Tel Aviv

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Sheriff Tiraspol30 July 2026
  • W5-0away to Sheriff Tiraspol23 July 2026

CSKA Sofia

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Dunav Ruse2 August 2026
  • D0-0Qarabag30 July 2026
  • W3-2Botev Plovdiv27 July 2026
  • D0-0away to Qarabag23 July 2026
  • D0-0away to Slavia Sofia20 July 2026

What these results say

  • CSKA Sofia went unbeaten through these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Leading scorers: Maccabi Tel Aviv and CSKA Sofia

Maccabi Tel Aviv

GoalsAssists

  • Dor Peretz72
  • E. Sokler51
  • E. Madmon33

CSKA Sofia

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

CSKA Sofia won 3–0 at Maccabi Tel Aviv. The model had leaned towards a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv at 48% and given a win for CSKA Sofia 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Ebong 9' for CSKA Sofia, L. Godoy 29' for CSKA Sofia, J. Zwarts 90' for CSKA Sofia.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.