PAOK vs Anderlecht UEFA Europa League prediction & result
Final score: PAOK 0-1 Anderlecht.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% PAOK, 20% draw, 26% Anderlecht — fair odds of 1.85, 5.00 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Anderlecht v PAOK, 13 Aug →
Anderlecht went through 4–2 on aggregate.
All Europa League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
PAOK at 54%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — PAOK vs Anderlecht
Line-ups
- 1J. PavlenkaG
- 3J. KennyD
- 4P. HatzidiakosD
- 5G. MichailidisD
- 18JogoD
- 20C. ZafeirisM
- 7B. SantamariaM
- 14A. ZivkovicM
- 65G. KonstanteliasM
- 11TaisonM
- 56A. MythouF
- 2M. CamaraM
- 6A. ElustondoD
- 10D. PelkasM
- 19A. JeremejeffF
- 21A. BabaD
- 23T. LouchetM
- 25K. ThymianisD
- 32G. TaylorD
- 47S. ShoretireF
- 26C. CoosemansG
- 79A. MaamarD
- 27L. PetrotD
- 4G. BianconeD
- 5M. N'DiayeD
- 24E. LlansanaM
- 18L. AmbrosM
- 55M. KanaD
- 49J. Onia SekeM
- 14D. SikanF
- 9M. Cvetkovic
- 2Z. Keita
- 6L. AugustinssonD
- 11O. AntmanM
- 13N. SalibaM
- 32J. HeekerenG
- 50K. BarryD
- 53N. CobiellaF
- 61K. NgaM
- 62B. VroninksD
Form going into PAOK vs Anderlecht
PAOK
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Dynamo Kyiv30 July 2026
- W3-2away to Dynamo Kyiv23 July 2026
Anderlecht
All competitions we cover
- W3-1Hammarby FF30 July 2026
- D1-1away to Hammarby FF23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
PAOK and Anderlecht in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | PAOK | Super League 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 19 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | UEFA Europa League | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Super League 1 · UEFA Europa League
Leading scorers: PAOK and Anderlecht
PAOK
GoalsAssists
- C. Ndiaye40
- A. Živković35
- D. Pelkas30
Anderlecht
No player in UEFA Europa League's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Anderlecht won 1–0 at PAOK. The model had leaned towards a win for PAOK at 54% and given a win for Anderlecht 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: M. Cvetkovic 1' for Anderlecht.