Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 Ludogorets.
Before kick-off the model made it 26% Hapoel Tel Aviv, 27% draw, 47% Ludogorets — fair odds of 3.85, 3.70 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Ludogorets v Hapoel Tel Aviv, 30 Jul →
Hapoel Tel Aviv went through 4–2 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ludogorets at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 22Assaf TzurG
- 97Marcus CocoD
- 5Fernand MayemboD
- 4ChicoD
- 16Doron LeidnerD
- 98FalcãoM
- 6Andrian KraevM
- 11Stav TorialM
- 51Omri AltmanF
- 10Xande SilvaF
- 9Emmanuel BoatengF
- 15Roee AlkokinM
- 27Mor BuskilaF
- 44Daniel DappaF
- 18Tal ArchelD
- 21Shahar PivenD
- 13Shon Ben NesherG
- 33Yanal BazdogG
- 20Or IsraelovD
- 8Yonatan FerberM
- 39Hendrik BonmannG
- 17SonD
- 15Edvin KurtulusD
- 3Anton NedyalkovD
- 27Vinicius NogueiraD
- 26Filip KaločM
- 7Alberto SalidoF
- 14Petar StanićM
- 20Aguibou CamaraM
- 29Yves Erick BileF
- 12Rwan CruzF
- 18Ivajlo ChochevM
- 37Bernard TekpeteyM
- 9Kwadwo DuahF
- 55Idan NachmiasD
- 2Joel AnderssonD
- 1Sergio PadtG
- 67Aleksandar PanayotovG
- 24Olivier VerdonD
- 42Simeon ShishkovD
Form going into Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
No earlier matches on record this season.
Ludogorets
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Hapoel Tel Aviv and Ludogorets in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | First League | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 26 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ligat Ha'al · First League
Leading scorers: Hapoel Tel Aviv and Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv
GoalsAssists
- E. Boateng32
- D. Owusu31
- O. Altman30
Ludogorets
GoalsAssists
- B. Tekpetey20
- Rwan Cruz12
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hapoel Tel Aviv beat Ludogorets 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Ludogorets at 47% and given a win for Hapoel Tel Aviv 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: O. Altman 45' for Hapoel Tel Aviv, Chico 89' for Hapoel Tel Aviv.