GO Ahead Eagles vs Willem II Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: GO Ahead Eagles 4-1 Willem II.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% GO Ahead Eagles, 23% draw, 38% Willem II — fair odds of 2.56, 4.35 and 2.63.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
GO Ahead Eagles at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — GO Ahead Eagles vs Willem II
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1K. HaugG
- 2A. SampstedD
- 26J. DirksenD
- 4J. KramerD
- 5D. JamesD
- 8E. LinthorstM
- 21M. MeulensteenM
- 10S. TengstedtM
- 16V. EdvardsenM
- 17M. SurayM
- 9S. I. SigurdarsonF
- 22N. MarsmanG
- 33N. VerdoniG
- 18R. MargaretF
- 23T. BaetenF
- 6C. TwigtM
- 29E. FlatakerF
- 25G. van ZwamD
- 20E. WaayersD
- 34Y. Salah RahmouniM
- 1T. Didillon HodlG
- 22P. van LoonD
- 3F. StamD
- 4J. HoogmaD
- 24N. Tjoe a OnD
- 2A. CiranniM
- 8K. BoogaardM
- 50E. GurbuzM
- 19U. van AalstM
- 7J. SloryM
- 9D. HaenF
- 21W. van der SteenG
- 31K. de Leeuw
- 15A. Et TaibiD
- 45S. Wermenbol
- 48J. van EsdonkM
- 28T. VerheydtF
- 83M. LemmensD
- 14J. MathijsenD
- 40D. Iglesias
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
| 18 | Willem II | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 40 | -29 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: GO Ahead Eagles vs Willem II
- 16 March 2025GO Ahead Eagles 1–0 Willem IIEredivisie
- 18 August 2024Willem II 2–0 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- 8 April 2022GO Ahead Eagles 4–0 Willem IIEredivisie
- 27 November 2021Willem II 0–1 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
Leading scorers: GO Ahead Eagles and Willem II
GO Ahead Eagles
GoalsAssists
- S. Tengstedt92
Willem II
No player in Eredivisie's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
GO Ahead Eagles beat Willem II 4–1. The model had made a win for GO Ahead Eagles its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: D. Haen 13' for Willem II, S. Tengstedt 30' for GO Ahead Eagles, M. Meulensteen 61' for GO Ahead Eagles, E. Flataker 63' for GO Ahead Eagles, J. Dirksen 69' for GO Ahead Eagles. On expected goals it finished 2.35–1.46.