Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali First League prediction & result
Final score: Dunav Ruse 0-2 Arda Kardzhali.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Dunav Ruse, 20% draw, 50% Arda Kardzhali — fair odds of 3.33, 5.00 and 2.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Arda Kardzhali at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 33Georgi KitanovG
- 51Ilker BudinovD
- 4Jose CabarcasD
- 5Kyriakos AntoniouM
- 88Dimitar TodorovD
- 14Radoslav ApostolovM
- 44Vladan VidakovićM
- 2Mario Ivanov DilchovskiD
- 10Kristiyan BoychevM
- 11Denislav MinchevF
- 9Alexander Valino NavasalF
- 69Plamen PepelyashevG
- 24Stefan GavrilovM
- 18Ibrahim KeitaF
- 39Andre AlvesD
- 22Stojan PredevD
- 6Stanislav YovkovD
- 19Stefan StefanovM
- 77Aleksandar SimeonovF
- 1Anatoli GospodinovG
- 21Vyacheslav VelevD
- 44Adama Ardile TraoréD
- 5Viktor LyubenovD
- 35Dimitar VelkovskiD
- 80Lachezar KotevM
- 8Dominik YankovM
- 15Stanislav IvanovM
- 10Svetoslav KovachevM
- 99Birsent KaragarenM
- 16Preslav BachevF
- 4Idowu David AkintolaM
- 11Atanas KabovM
- 6Viktor PopovD
- 18Simeon VasilevD
- 22Yanko GeorgievG
- 24Martin PaskalevD
- 26Burak AkandzhaM
- 9Georgi NikolovF
Form going into Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali
Dunav Ruse
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to CSKA Sofia2 August 2026
- L0-2Ludogorets27 July 2026
- L1-2away to Levski Sofia17 July 2026
Arda Kardzhali
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to CSKA 194831 July 2026
- W1-0Slavia Sofia24 July 2026
- D1-1away to Septemvri Sofia18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dunav Ruse vs Arda Kardzhali
- 19 November 2022Dunav Ruse 1–2 Arda KardzhaliCup
- 21 June 2020Arda Kardzhali 0–2 Dunav RuseFirst League
- 6 June 2020Dunav Ruse 0–0 Arda KardzhaliFirst League
- 6 October 2019Arda Kardzhali 0–2 Dunav RuseFirst League
Leading scorers: Dunav Ruse and Arda Kardzhali
Dunav Ruse
GoalsAssists
- I. Budinov11
- Andre Alves10
Arda Kardzhali
GoalsAssists
- B. Karagaren11
- S. Kovachev10
- A. Kabov10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Arda Kardzhali won 2–0 at Dunav Ruse. The model had made a win for Arda Kardzhali its most likely outcome, at 50%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Birsent Karagaren 16' for Arda Kardzhali, Svetoslav Kovachev 59' for Arda Kardzhali. Sent off: Jose Cabarcas (Dunav Ruse) 79'.