Komárno
vs
Zemplín Michalovce
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Komárno 1–0 Zemplín Michalovce
The model makes it 38% Komárno, 33% draw, 29% Zemplín Michalovce — fair odds of 2.63, 3.03 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Komárno 1.07, Zemplín Michalovce 0.86.
Both teams to score: 39%. Over 2.5 goals: 30%, under 2.5: 70%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,017 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 25 October 2026. Komárno's rating is built from 43 Slovak Super Liga matches and Zemplín Michalovce's from 44, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Komárno are bottom on 6 points from 11 games; Zemplín Michalovce are 7th on 14 points from 12 games — Super Liga.
- Komárno have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Ružomberok.
- Zemplín Michalovce are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 1-4 defeat at home to Podbrezová.
- Last 6 meetings: Zemplín Michalovce 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 8 August 2026, ended Zemplín Michalovce 1–1 Komárno.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Komárno at 38% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 3,676 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce
Komárno
Super Liga
- L0-1Ružomberok17 October 2026
- D1-1away to FK Košice10 October 2026
- L1-2Slovan Bratislava19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Podbrezová13 September 2026
- D0-0Skalica5 September 2026
Zemplín Michalovce
Super Liga
- L1-4Podbrezová24 October 2026
- D1-1FK Košice18 October 2026
- L0-3Dunajska Streda10 October 2026
- W1-0Dukla Banská Bystrica19 September 2026
- L0-3away to Ružomberok12 September 2026
What these results say
- Komárno did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Komárno conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Komárno had two goals or fewer.
- Zemplín Michalovce failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Zemplín Michalovce conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Komárno | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 7 | Zemplín Michalovce | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Komárno vs Zemplín Michalovce
- 8 August 2026Zemplín Michalovce 1–1 KomárnoSuper Liga
- 2 November 2025Komárno 1–1 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 2 August 2025Zemplín Michalovce 3–1 KomárnoSuper Liga
- 11 May 2025Zemplín Michalovce 4–5 KomárnoSuper Liga
- 30 March 2025Komárno 0–1 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 7 December 2024Zemplín Michalovce 0–0 KomárnoSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Komárno and Zemplín Michalovce
Komárno
GoalsAssists
- J. Bernát10
Zemplín Michalovce
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Komárno carry a model rating of 6.19 against 6.21 for Zemplín Michalovce. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 1.07 goals for Komárno and 0.86 for Zemplín Michalovce. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Komárno rate 0.39 in attack and 1.56 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Zemplín Michalovce rate 0.46 and 1.68.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Zemplín Michalovce, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Komárno the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.07 expected goals for Komárno against 0.86 for Zemplín Michalovce. Komárno's attack/defence rating is 0.39/1.56 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/1.68 for Zemplín Michalovce.
How the model reaches 38% for Komárno to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Komárno to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, Komárno's ratings take away 30 points and Zemplín Michalovce's ratings add 24 points, which lands on the published 38%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Komárno's ratings14%−30
- Zemplín Michalovce's ratings38%+24
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Komárno at home · Zemplín Michalovce away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Komárno 11, Zemplín Michalovce 12.
Komárno score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); Zemplín Michalovce have let in 6 there.
Zemplín Michalovce score most often in the 31–45 minute window (3 goals); Komárno have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Komárno
- at Dunajska Streda21 Nov · Super Ligawin 8%
- vs Žilina28 Nov · Super Ligawin 29%
- vs Dukla Banská Bystrica5 Dec · Super Ligawin 39%
Zemplín Michalovce
- vs Spartak Trnava21 Nov · Super Ligawin 27%
- at Skalica28 Nov · Super Ligawin 30%
- vs Slovan Bratislava5 Dec · Super Ligawin 22%
- at AS Trencin12 Dec · Super Ligawin 31%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.