Železničar Pančevo
vs
Radnicki 1923
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Železničar Pančevo 1–0 Radnicki 1923
The model makes it 48% Železničar Pančevo, 28% draw, 24% Radnicki 1923 — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Železničar Pančevo 1.55, Radnicki 1923 0.92.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%, under 2.5: 55%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 45% of the time, over 2,115 settled matches.
Edge to Železničar Pančevo: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 24 October 2026. Železničar Pančevo's rating is built from 49 Serbian SuperLiga matches and Radnicki 1923's from 49, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 682 matches.
Key facts
- Železničar Pančevo are 3rd on 23 points from 12 games; Radnicki 1923 are 5th on 20 points from 12 games — Super Liga.
- Železničar Pančevo are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to IMT Novi Beograd.
- Radnicki 1923 have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Radnik Surdulica.
- Last 5 meetings: Železničar Pančevo 2 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 29 November 2025, ended Železničar Pančevo 1–0 Radnicki 1923.
More Serbian SuperLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Železničar Pančevo vs Radnicki 1923
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Železničar Pančevo at 48% here. Across 4,534 settled matches (as of 24 October 2026), 2,103 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Železničar Pančevo vs Radnicki 1923
Železničar Pančevo
Super Liga
- W1-0away to IMT Novi Beograd23 October 2026
- W1-0FK Partizan18 October 2026
- W3-0away to Zemun11 October 2026
- W2-1Cukaricki20 September 2026
- L1-2FK Crvena Zvezda17 September 2026
Radnicki 1923
Super Liga
- W1-0Radnik Surdulica23 October 2026
- L0-2away to Vojvodina17 October 2026
- L0-3FK Crvena Zvezda10 October 2026
- W5-3away to OFK Beograd19 September 2026
- W5-0Mladost Lucani12 September 2026
What these results say
- Železničar Pančevo scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Železničar Pančevo won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Železničar Pančevo | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 10 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 | Radnicki 1923 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 14 | +4 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Železničar Pančevo vs Radnicki 1923
- 29 November 2025Železničar Pančevo 1–0 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
- 27 July 2025Radnicki 1923 1–1 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
- 24 November 2024Železničar Pančevo 1–1 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
- 19 July 2024Radnicki 1923 2–3 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
- 13 March 2024Radnicki 1923 3–0 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Železničar Pančevo and Radnicki 1923
Železničar Pančevo
GoalsAssists
- K. Kwaku42
Radnicki 1923
GoalsAssists
- M. Cissé41
- U. Sremčević40
- D. Buchta31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Železničar Pančevo carry a model rating of 6.5 against 6.34 for Radnicki 1923. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.55 goals for Železničar Pančevo and 0.92 for Radnicki 1923. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Železničar Pančevo rate 0.62 in attack and 1.27 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Radnicki 1923 rate 0.56 and 1.56.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Železničar Pančevo a 0.1% chance of the title and Radnicki 1923 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,192 correct results out of 4,558 settled predictions (48%), with 452 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Železničar Pančevo the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.55 expected goals for Železničar Pančevo against 0.92 for Radnicki 1923. Železničar Pančevo's attack/defence rating is 0.62/1.27 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/1.56 for Radnicki 1923.
How the model reaches 48% for Železničar Pančevo to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Železničar Pančevo to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, Železničar Pančevo's ratings take away 18 points and Radnicki 1923's ratings add 24 points, which lands on the published 48%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage42%+5
- Železničar Pančevo's ratings24%−18
- Radnicki 1923's ratings48%+24
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Železničar Pančevo at home · Radnicki 1923 away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Železničar Pančevo 12, Radnicki 1923 12.
Železničar Pančevo score most often in the 61–75 minute window (6 goals); Radnicki 1923 have let in 1 there.
Radnicki 1923 score most often in the 0–15 minute window (5 goals); Železničar Pančevo have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Železničar Pančevo
- at Mladost Lucani21 Nov · Super Ligawin 49%
- vs OFK Beograd28 Nov · Super Ligawin 56%
- at FK Crvena Zvezda6 Dec · Super Ligawin 17%
Radnicki 1923
- vs Cukaricki21 Nov · Super Ligawin 47%
- at Zemun28 Nov · Super Ligawin 52%
- vs FK Partizan6 Dec · Super Ligawin 40%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.