Regular Season - 15 · 7 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda Super Liga prediction

Novi Sad

Our model says: Vojvodina 1–2 FK Crvena Zvezda

The model makes it 31% Vojvodina, 26% draw, 43% FK Crvena Zvezda — fair odds of 3.23, 3.85 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Vojvodina 1.35, FK Crvena Zvezda 1.70.

Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 45% of the time, over 2,115 settled matches.

Edge to FK Crvena Zvezda: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 24 October 2026. Vojvodina's rating is built from 49 Serbian SuperLiga matches and FK Crvena Zvezda's from 49, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 682 matches.

Key facts

  • Vojvodina are 2nd on 28 points from 12 games; FK Crvena Zvezda are top on 34 points from 12 games — Super Liga.
  • Vojvodina are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 2-0 win at home to Radnicki 1923.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda are unbeaten in their last 5 games (5 won), most recently a 5-1 win at home to Mladost Lucani.
  • Last 6 meetings: FK Crvena Zvezda 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 26 July 2026, ended FK Crvena Zvezda 3–1 Vojvodina.

More Serbian SuperLiga predictions

All Serbian SuperLiga predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda

61%
Both teams to score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Vojvodina win Draw FK Crvena Zvezda win
  1. 1–111%
  2. 1–29%
  3. 0–18%
  4. 2–17%
  5. 0–27%
  6. 2–26%
  7. 1–06%

Scores read Vojvodina first. Each bar is the model's probability of that exact result, drawn against the likeliest one; the other scorelines it considered share the remaining 46%.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FK Crvena Zvezda at 43% here. Across 4,534 settled matches (as of 24 October 2026), 2,103 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda

Vojvodina

Super Liga

  • W2-0Radnicki 192317 October 2026
  • W4-1away to Radnicki NIS11 October 2026
  • D1-1IMT Novi Beograd19 September 2026
  • W3-2away to FK Partizan13 September 2026
  • W2-1Zemun6 September 2026

FK Crvena Zvezda

Super Liga

  • W5-1Mladost Lucani18 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Radnicki 192310 October 2026
  • W3-0Radnicki NIS20 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Železničar Pančevo17 September 2026
  • W1-0away to IMT Novi Beograd13 September 2026

What these results say

  • Vojvodina went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Vojvodina scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Vojvodina won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda won every one of these 5 matches.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for FK Crvena Zvezda had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Vojvodina129122711+1628
1FK Crvena Zvezda121110324+2834

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: Vojvodina vs FK Crvena Zvezda

  • 26 July 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 3–1 VojvodinaSuper Liga
  • 13 May 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 2–2 VojvodinaCup
  • 18 April 2026FK Crvena Zvezda 4–1 VojvodinaSuper Liga
  • 7 December 2025FK Crvena Zvezda 0–1 VojvodinaSuper Liga
  • 30 October 2025Vojvodina 3–2 FK Crvena ZvezdaSuper Liga
  • 21 May 2025Vojvodina 0–3 FK Crvena ZvezdaCup

Leading scorers: Vojvodina and FK Crvena Zvezda

Vojvodina

GoalsAssists

  • D. Zukić71
  • N. Mulahusejnović44
  • L. Ranđelović37

FK Crvena Zvezda

GoalsAssists

  • V. Kostov42
  • M. Abu Fani32
  • M. Arnautović31

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

The two sides

Vojvodina carry a model rating of 6.59 against 6.82 for FK Crvena Zvezda. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

What the model expects

Under the hood the model expects 1.35 goals for Vojvodina and 1.70 for FK Crvena Zvezda. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

Vojvodina rate 0.81 in attack and 1.36 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FK Crvena Zvezda rate 0.97 and 1.04.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Vojvodina a 5.8% chance of the title and FK Crvena Zvezda 94.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 2,192 correct results out of 4,558 settled predictions (48%), with 452 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FK Crvena Zvezda the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Vojvodina against 1.70 for FK Crvena Zvezda. Vojvodina's attack/defence rating is 0.81/1.36 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.97/1.04 for FK Crvena Zvezda.

How the model reaches 43% for FK Crvena Zvezda to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for FK Crvena Zvezda to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, Vojvodina's ratings add 14 points and FK Crvena Zvezda's ratings take away 2 points, which lands on the published 43%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage31%−5
  3. Vojvodina's ratings45%+14
  4. FK Crvena Zvezda's ratings43%−2

Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.

Season stats

VojvodinaFK Crvena Zvezda
12Matches12
9W 1D 2LRecord11W 1D 0L
27 2.3 per gameGoals scored32 2.7 per game
11 0.9 per gameGoals conceded4 0.3 per game
5 of 12Clean sheets8 of 12
1 of 12Failed to score1 of 12
1 of 3Penalties scored1 of 2
29 2.4 per gameYellow cards27 2.3 per game
1Red cards1
4-2-3-1 6×Usual shape3-2-4-1 7×

Vojvodina at home · FK Crvena Zvezda away

7Played5
6W 1D 0LRecord4W 1D 0L
14–3Goals for – against8–1
4 of 7Clean sheets4 of 5

League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Super Liga matches this season: Vojvodina 12, FK Crvena Zvezda 12.

Vojvodina scored 334744
FK Crvena Zvezda conceded 103001

Vojvodina score most often in the 46–60 minute window (7 goals); FK Crvena Zvezda have let in 0 there.

FK Crvena Zvezda scored 3541125
Vojvodina conceded 220221

FK Crvena Zvezda score most often in the 46–60 minute window (11 goals); Vojvodina have let in 2 there.

Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.

The next 3 matches, by difficulty

Vojvodina

  • at Macva21 Nov · Super Ligawin 59%
  • at Radnik Surdulica28 Nov · Super Ligawin 48%
  • vs Novi Pazar6 Dec · Super Ligawin 62%

FK Crvena Zvezda

  • vs Radnik Surdulica21 Nov · Super Ligawin 73%
  • at Gent26 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 21%

Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.