Kisvarda FC
vs
Nyiregyhaza
NB I prediction
Our model says: Kisvarda FC 1–0 Nyiregyhaza
The model makes it 40% Kisvarda FC, 29% draw, 31% Nyiregyhaza — fair odds of 2.50, 3.45 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Kisvarda FC 1.35, Nyiregyhaza 1.11.
Both teams to score: 50%. Over 2.5 goals: 44%, under 2.5: 56%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Kisvarda FC's rating is built from 46 Hungarian NB I matches and Nyiregyhaza's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 473 matches.
Key facts
- Kisvarda FC are 11th on 12 points from 13 games; Nyiregyhaza are bottom on 12 points from 13 games — NB I.
- Kisvarda FC have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Puskas Academy.
- Nyiregyhaza have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Gyori ETO FC.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 1 win each, 4 draws; the most recent, 15 August 2026, ended Nyiregyhaza 2–1 Kisvarda FC.
More Hungarian NB I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Kisvarda FC vs Nyiregyhaza
Has the model earned this number?
Kisvarda FC at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Kisvarda FC vs Nyiregyhaza
Kisvarda FC
NB I
- L0-1Puskas Academy7 November 2026
- L0-1away to Budapest Honved31 October 2026
- D1-1away to Zalaegerszegi TE24 October 2026
- D1-1Ferencvarosi TC18 October 2026
- D1-1away to Vasas10 October 2026
Nyiregyhaza
NB I
- D1-1Gyori ETO FC8 November 2026
- L1-2away to Ujpest1 November 2026
- W2-1away to Puskas Academy25 October 2026
- L0-1Budapest Honved17 October 2026
- L1-5away to Zalaegerszegi TE11 October 2026
What these results say
- Kisvarda FC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Kisvarda FC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Kisvarda FC had two goals or fewer.
- Nyiregyhaza conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Nyiregyhaza failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Nyiregyhaza scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Kisvarda FC | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Nyiregyhaza | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Kisvarda FC
Chance to finish in the bottom two · 34% today
Nyiregyhaza
Chance to finish in the bottom two · 50% today
From our NB I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Kisvarda FC vs Nyiregyhaza
- 15 August 2026Nyiregyhaza 2–1 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 21 February 2026Nyiregyhaza 2–2 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 31 October 2025Kisvarda FC 0–0 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 27 July 2025Nyiregyhaza 1–1 Kisvarda FCNB I
- 8 September 2023Nyiregyhaza 0–2 Kisvarda FCFriendlies Clubs
- 29 April 2018Kisvarda FC 2–2 NyiregyhazaNB II
Leading scorers: Kisvarda FC and Nyiregyhaza
Kisvarda FC
No player in NB I's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Nyiregyhaza
GoalsAssists
- M. Kvasina41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Kisvarda FC the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.35 expected goals for Kisvarda FC against 1.11 for Nyiregyhaza. Kisvarda FC's attack/defence rating is 0.47/1.32 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.6/1.73 for Nyiregyhaza.
How the model reaches 40% for Kisvarda FC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Kisvarda FC to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 2 points, Kisvarda FC's ratings take away 1 point and Nyiregyhaza's ratings add 1 point, which lands on the published 40%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage42%+5
- Both sides at this match's level40%−2
- Kisvarda FC's ratings39%−1
- Nyiregyhaza's ratings40%+1
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Kisvarda FC at home · Nyiregyhaza away
League matches only, NB I, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Kisvarda FCNyiregyhaza
Kisvarda FC are 11th after 13 NB I matches (between 1st and 11th so far); Nyiregyhaza are 12th after 13 (between 1st and 12th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All NB I matches this season: Kisvarda FC 13, Nyiregyhaza 13.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Kisvarda FC
- at Debreceni VSC5 Dec · NB Iwin 21%
- at Gyori ETO FC12 Dec · NB Iwin 19%
- vs MTK Budapest20 Dec · NB Iwin 42%
- at Paks30 Jan · NB Iwin 23%
Nyiregyhaza
- vs MTK Budapest5 Dec · NB Iwin 44%
- at Paks12 Dec · NB Iwin 22%
- vs Vasas19 Dec · NB Iwin 34%
- at Ferencvarosi TC30 Jan · NB Iwin 13%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.