Ferencvarosi TC
vs
Zalaegerszegi TE
NB I prediction
Our model says: Ferencvarosi TC 2–0 Zalaegerszegi TE
The model makes it 62% Ferencvarosi TC, 22% draw, 16% Zalaegerszegi TE — fair odds of 1.61, 4.55 and 6.25.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (11%).
Expected goals: Ferencvarosi TC 2.19, Zalaegerszegi TE 0.85.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
One-sided: Ferencvarosi TC are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Ferencvarosi TC's rating is built from 45 Hungarian NB I matches and Zalaegerszegi TE's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 473 matches.
Key facts
- Ferencvarosi TC are 2nd on 23 points from 12 games; Zalaegerszegi TE are 9th on 13 points from 13 games — NB I.
- Ferencvarosi TC are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 2-0 win away to Vasas.
- Zalaegerszegi TE have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Paks.
- Last 6 meetings: Ferencvarosi TC 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 17 August 2026, ended Zalaegerszegi TE 0–1 Ferencvarosi TC.
More Hungarian NB I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Ferencvarosi TC vs Zalaegerszegi TE
Has the model earned this number?
Ferencvarosi TC at 62%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Ferencvarosi TC vs Zalaegerszegi TE
Ferencvarosi TC
NB I
- W2-0away to Vasas8 November 2026
- W2-0Paks1 November 2026
- W5-0MTK Budapest25 October 2026
- D1-1away to Kisvarda FC18 October 2026
- D1-1Debreceni VSC10 October 2026
Zalaegerszegi TE
NB I
- L1-2away to Paks7 November 2026
- W3-0MTK Budapest31 October 2026
- D1-1Kisvarda FC24 October 2026
- L0-3away to Debreceni VSC18 October 2026
- W5-1Nyiregyhaza11 October 2026
What these results say
- Ferencvarosi TC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Ferencvarosi TC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Ferencvarosi TC had two goals or fewer.
- Zalaegerszegi TE scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Zalaegerszegi TE conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Zalaegerszegi TE had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 9 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Ferencvarosi TC vs Zalaegerszegi TE
- 17 August 2026Zalaegerszegi TE 0–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 16 May 2026Ferencvarosi TC 3–0 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 9 May 2026Ferencvarosi TC 1–0 Zalaegerszegi TEMagyar Kupa
- 14 February 2026Zalaegerszegi TE 3–1 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 26 October 2025Ferencvarosi TC 1–2 Zalaegerszegi TENB I
- 12 April 2025Zalaegerszegi TE 0–2 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
Leading scorers: Ferencvarosi TC and Zalaegerszegi TE
Ferencvarosi TC
GoalsAssists
- B. Yusuf41
- K. Zachariassen41
- M. Corbu31
Zalaegerszegi TE
GoalsAssists
- Arthur Henrique30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Ferencvarosi TC a 69.2% chance of the title and Zalaegerszegi TE 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Ferencvarosi TC the highest probability at 62%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.19 expected goals for Ferencvarosi TC against 0.85 for Zalaegerszegi TE. Ferencvarosi TC's attack/defence rating is 0.84/0.95 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.57 for Zalaegerszegi TE.
How the model reaches 62% for Ferencvarosi TC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Ferencvarosi TC to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 2 points, Ferencvarosi TC's ratings add 10 points and Zalaegerszegi TE's ratings add 12 points, which lands on the published 62%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage42%+5
- Both sides at this match's level40%−2
- Ferencvarosi TC's ratings50%+10
- Zalaegerszegi TE's ratings62%+12
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Ferencvarosi TC at home · Zalaegerszegi TE away
League matches only, NB I, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Ferencvarosi TCZalaegerszegi TE
Ferencvarosi TC are 2nd after 12 NB I matches (between 2nd and 11th so far); Zalaegerszegi TE are 9th after 13 (between 5th and 12th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All NB I matches this season: Ferencvarosi TC 12, Zalaegerszegi TE 13.
Ferencvarosi TC score most often in the 61–75 minute window (7 goals); Zalaegerszegi TE have let in 5 there.
Zalaegerszegi TE score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Ferencvarosi TC have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Ferencvarosi TC
- vs Budapest Honved3 Dec · NB Iwin 63%
- at Budapest Honved6 Dec · NB Iwin 54%
- at Lech Poznan10 Dec · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 22%
Zalaegerszegi TE
- vs Gyori ETO FC6 Dec · NB Iwin 29%
- vs Budapest Honved13 Dec · NB Iwin 43%
- at Puskas Academy20 Dec · NB Iwin 28%
- vs Ujpest30 Jan · NB Iwin 41%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.