Ferencvarosi TC
vs
Gyori ETO FC
NB I prediction
Our model says: Ferencvarosi TC 1–0 Gyori ETO FC
The model makes it 48% Ferencvarosi TC, 27% draw, 25% Gyori ETO FC — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Ferencvarosi TC 1.62, Gyori ETO FC 1.00.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%, under 2.5: 52%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.
Edge to Ferencvarosi TC: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Ferencvarosi TC's rating is built from 45 Hungarian NB I matches and Gyori ETO FC's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 473 matches.
Key facts
- Ferencvarosi TC are 2nd on 23 points from 12 games; Gyori ETO FC are 3rd on 23 points from 13 games — NB I.
- Ferencvarosi TC are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 2-0 win away to Vasas.
- Gyori ETO FC are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Nyiregyhaza.
- Last 6 meetings: Ferencvarosi TC 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 3 September 2026, ended Gyori ETO FC 0–3 Ferencvarosi TC.
More Hungarian NB I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Ferencvarosi TC vs Gyori ETO FC
Has the model earned this number?
Ferencvarosi TC at 48%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Ferencvarosi TC vs Gyori ETO FC
Ferencvarosi TC
NB I
- W2-0away to Vasas8 November 2026
- W2-0Paks1 November 2026
- W5-0MTK Budapest25 October 2026
- D1-1away to Kisvarda FC18 October 2026
- D1-1Debreceni VSC10 October 2026
Gyori ETO FC
NB I
- D1-1away to Nyiregyhaza8 November 2026
- D2-2Vasas31 October 2026
- W1-0Ujpest24 October 2026
- W2-1away to Paks17 October 2026
- L0-1Puskas Academy11 October 2026
What these results say
- Ferencvarosi TC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Ferencvarosi TC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Ferencvarosi TC had two goals or fewer.
- Gyori ETO FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gyori ETO FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ferencvarosi TC | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 10 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 | Gyori ETO FC | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 15 | +7 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Ferencvarosi TC
Chance to win the league · 69% today
Gyori ETO FC
Chance to finish in the top three · 65% today
From our NB I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Ferencvarosi TC vs Gyori ETO FC
- 3 September 2026Gyori ETO FC 0–3 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 22 April 2026Ferencvarosi TC 2–2 Gyori ETO FCMagyar Kupa
- 19 April 2026Gyori ETO FC 1–0 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 25 January 2026Ferencvarosi TC 1–3 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 28 September 2025Gyori ETO FC 0–2 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
- 24 May 2025Gyori ETO FC 1–2 Ferencvarosi TCNB I
Leading scorers: Ferencvarosi TC and Gyori ETO FC
Ferencvarosi TC
GoalsAssists
- B. Yusuf41
- K. Zachariassen41
- M. Corbu31
Gyori ETO FC
GoalsAssists
- V. Đukanović40
- L. Kulenović32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Ferencvarosi TC a 69.1% chance of the title and Gyori ETO FC 14.6%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Ferencvarosi TC the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.62 expected goals for Ferencvarosi TC against 1.00 for Gyori ETO FC. Ferencvarosi TC's attack/defence rating is 0.84/0.95 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.75/1.16 for Gyori ETO FC.
How the model reaches 48% for Ferencvarosi TC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Ferencvarosi TC to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 2 points, Ferencvarosi TC's ratings add 4 points and Gyori ETO FC's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 48%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage42%+5
- Both sides at this match's level40%−2
- Ferencvarosi TC's ratings44%+4
- Gyori ETO FC's ratings48%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Ferencvarosi TC at home · Gyori ETO FC away
League matches only, NB I, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Ferencvarosi TCGyori ETO FC
Ferencvarosi TC are 2nd after 12 NB I matches (between 2nd and 11th so far); Gyori ETO FC are 3rd after 13 (between 1st and 6th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All NB I matches this season: Ferencvarosi TC 12, Gyori ETO FC 13.
Ferencvarosi TC score most often in the 61–75 minute window (7 goals); Gyori ETO FC have let in 5 there.
Gyori ETO FC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Ferencvarosi TC have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Ferencvarosi TC
- vs Celje26 Nov · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 49%
- vs Zalaegerszegi TE29 Nov · NB Iwin 62%
- vs Budapest Honved3 Dec · NB Iwin 63%
- at Budapest Honved6 Dec · NB Iwin 54%
- at Lech Poznan10 Dec · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 22%
Gyori ETO FC
- vs Debreceni VSC27 Nov · NB Iwin 44%
- at Zalaegerszegi TE6 Dec · NB Iwin 44%
- vs Kisvarda FC12 Dec · NB Iwin 54%
- at Budapest Honved20 Dec · NB Iwin 46%
- vs MTK Budapest30 Jan · NB Iwin 62%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.