Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Kalju Nomme 2-1 Shelbourne.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Kalju Nomme, 23% draw, 25% Shelbourne — fair odds of 1.92, 4.35 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Shelbourne 5–2 Kalju Nomme (23 Jul) →
Shelbourne went through 6–4 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Kalju Nomme at 52% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Henri PerkG
- 78Danyl MashchenkoD
- 50Maksim PodholjuzinD
- 46Roko VukušićD
- 4Alex BoronilštšikovD
- 26Rommi SihtM
- 8Oleksandr MusolitinM
- 59Bogdan VastsukM
- 21Tiago BaptistaM
- 11Mihhail OrlovF
- 17Enrique EsonoM
- 88Daniil SotsugovD
- 10Nikita IvanovM
- 30Ibrahim JabirF
- 69Maksim PavlovG
- 20Modou TambedouD
- 74Fjodor JekimovD
- 5Uku KorreD
- 22Aleksandr NikolajevD
- 7Daniil TarassenkovD
- 19Eddie BeachG
- 25Milan MbengD
- 4Kameron LedwidgeD
- 29Paddy BarrettD
- 18James NorrisD
- 17Daniel KellyM
- 23Kerr McInroyM
- 14Ali CooteM
- 27Evan CaffreyM
- 20Rodrigo FreitasF
- 22Sean MooreF
- 16Odhran CaseyD
- 36Will JarvisF
- 44Daniel RingF
- 6Jonathan LunneyM
- 73Finn MoylanG
- 13Murray JohnsonG
- 15Sam BoneD
- 2Sean GannonD
- 55James RocheD
Form going into Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme
All competitions we cover
- L2-5away to Shelbourne23 July 2026
Shelbourne
All competitions we cover
- W5-2Kalju Nomme23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne
- 23 July 2026Shelbourne 5–2 Kalju NommeUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Kalju Nomme and Shelbourne
Kalju Nomme
No leading scorers listed yet.
Shelbourne
GoalsAssists
- H. Wood85
- D. Kelly84
- J. Martin82
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Kalju Nomme beat Shelbourne 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Kalju Nomme at 52%. The goals: D. Kelly 14' for Shelbourne, E. E. Lotar Eyang 49' for Kalju Nomme, I. Jabir 75' for Kalju Nomme. Sent off: O. Musolitin (Kalju Nomme) 31'.