Kalju Nomme
vs
Shelbourne
Final score: Kalju Nomme 2-1 Shelbourne.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Kalju Nomme, 23% draw, 24% Shelbourne — fair odds of 1.89, 4.35 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Kalju Nomme 1.98, Shelbourne 1.28.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 63%, under 2.5: 37%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Match stats: Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne
Goals: D. Kelly 14' for Shelbourne, E. E. Lotar Eyang 49' for Kalju Nomme, I. Jabir 75' for Kalju Nomme.
Head-to-head: Kalju Nomme vs Shelbourne
- 30 July 2026Kalju Nomme 2–1 ShelbourneUEFA Europa Conference League
- 23 July 2026Shelbourne 5–2 Kalju NommeUEFA Europa Conference League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Kalju Nomme the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.98 expected goals for Kalju Nomme against 1.28 for Shelbourne. Kalju Nomme's attack/defence rating is 0.46/1.86 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.49/2.28 for Shelbourne.