30 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

GKS Katowice vs Žilina UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadion miejski w Katowicach, Katowice
Full time3 – 1

Final score: GKS Katowice 3-1 Žilina.

Before kick-off the model made it 60% GKS Katowice, 23% draw, 17% Žilina — fair odds of 1.67, 4.35 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts GKS Katowice at 60% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

GKS Katowice99%Draw1%Žilina0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

19'
Timotej Hranica
Lukas Klemenz
45'
⚽A. Zrelakassist: B. Nowak
48'
Kacper Łukasiak
50'
57'
⚽F. Kosaassist: T. Hranica
🔁E. Markovicout: S. Bartlewicz
64'
64'
🔁M. Kacerout: X. Adang
64'
🔁P. Ilkoout: A. Florea
69'
🔁F. Kosaout: M. Fasko
74'
Tobias Pališčák
🔁B. Galanout: M. Wdowiak
75'
🔁A. Zrelakout: I. Shkurin
75'
🔁E. Jirkaout: M. Wasielewski
75'
⚽M. Wdowiakassist: B. Nowak
79'
⚽I. Shkurinassist: B. Wolski
82'
88'
🔁T. Hranicaout: P. Baleja
88'
🔁F. Bzdylout: D. Homet Ruiz
🔁K. Lukasiakout: S. Milewski
89'

Line-ups

GKS Katowice 3-4-3
  • 87G. KobylakG
  • 30A. CzerwinskiD
  • 4A. JedrychD
  • 6L. KlemenzD
  • 97E. JirkaM
  • 19K. LukasiakM
  • 68B. WolskiM
  • 8B. GalanM
  • 15E. MarkovicF
  • 99A. ZrelakF
  • 27B. NowakF
Substitutes
  • 1M. KikolskiG
  • 5J. BoschM
  • 7M. WdowiakM
  • 10M. WedrychowskiM
  • 14M. Olsen
  • 17I. ShkurinF
  • 21J. KokosinskiF
  • 22S. MilewskiM
  • 23M. WasielewskiM
Coach: Rafal Gorak
Žilina 3-4-3
  • 1J. BadzgonG
  • 33T. PaliscakD
  • 17J. MinarikD
  • 28A. NarimanidzeD
  • 21T. HranicaD
  • 11F. BzdylM
  • 66M. KacerM
  • 20K. BariM
  • 7F. Kosa
  • 95M. RoginicF
  • 16P. IlkoF
Substitutes
  • 26T. TarcsiG
  • 31D. SiposG
  • 2M. OkalD
  • 6X. AdangM
  • 9P. BalejaM
  • 10A. Florea
  • 14M. SvobodaD
  • 23M. FaskoF
  • 24S. DatkoM
Coach: Pavol Stano

Form going into GKS Katowice vs Žilina

GKS Katowice

  • L1-2away to Wisla Krakow26 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Žilina23 July 2026

Žilina

  • W2-1GKS Katowice23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: GKS Katowice vs Žilina

  • 23 July 2026Žilina 2–1 GKS KatowiceUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: GKS Katowice and Žilina

GKS Katowice

  • I. Shkurin5 goals1 assists

Žilina

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.