GKS Katowice vs Žilina UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: GKS Katowice 3-1 Žilina.
Before kick-off the model made it 60% GKS Katowice, 23% draw, 17% Žilina — fair odds of 1.67, 4.35 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Žilina 2–1 GKS Katowice (23 Jul) →
GKS Katowice went through 4–3 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts GKS Katowice at 60% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 87G. KobylakG
- 30A. CzerwinskiD
- 4A. JedrychD
- 6L. KlemenzD
- 97E. JirkaM
- 19K. LukasiakM
- 68B. WolskiM
- 8B. GalanM
- 15E. MarkovicF
- 99A. ZrelakF
- 27B. NowakF
- 1M. KikolskiG
- 5J. BoschM
- 7M. WdowiakM
- 10M. WedrychowskiM
- 14M. Olsen
- 17I. ShkurinF
- 21J. KokosinskiF
- 22S. MilewskiM
- 23M. WasielewskiM
- 1J. BadzgonG
- 33T. PaliscakD
- 17J. MinarikD
- 28A. NarimanidzeD
- 21T. HranicaD
- 11F. BzdylM
- 66M. KacerM
- 20K. BariM
- 7F. Kosa
- 95M. RoginicF
- 16P. IlkoF
- 26T. TarcsiG
- 31D. SiposG
- 2M. OkalD
- 6X. AdangM
- 9P. BalejaM
- 10A. Florea
- 14M. SvobodaD
- 23M. FaskoF
- 24S. DatkoM
Form going into GKS Katowice vs Žilina
GKS Katowice
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Wisla Krakow26 July 2026
- L1-2away to Žilina23 July 2026
Žilina
All competitions we cover
- W2-1GKS Katowice23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
GKS Katowice and Žilina in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | GKS Katowice | Ekstraklasa | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 17 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Žilina | Super Liga | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 24 | +5 | 22 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ekstraklasa · Super Liga
Head-to-head: GKS Katowice vs Žilina
- 23 July 2026Žilina 2–1 GKS KatowiceUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: GKS Katowice and Žilina
GKS Katowice
GoalsAssists
- I. Shkurin81
- B. Nowak48
Žilina
GoalsAssists
- M. Faško21
- T. Hranica20
- D. Homet Ruiz20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
GKS Katowice beat Žilina 3–1. The model had made a win for GKS Katowice its most likely outcome, at 60%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: A. Zrelak 48' for GKS Katowice, F. Kosa 57' for Žilina, M. Wdowiak 79' for GKS Katowice, I. Shkurin 82' for GKS Katowice.