Inter Turku
vs
Başakşehir
Final score: Inter Turku 2-0 Başakşehir.
Before kick-off the model made it 10% Inter Turku, 16% draw, 74% Başakşehir — fair odds of 10.00, 6.25 and 1.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (9%).
Expected goals: Inter Turku 0.96, Başakşehir 2.70.
Both teams to score: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%, under 2.5: 29%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Match stats: Inter Turku vs Başakşehir
Inter Turku had 41% possession, 10 shots (7 on target), 1 corners; Başakşehir had 59% possession, 12 shots (1 on target), 8 corners.
Goals: J. Tuominen 18' for Inter Turku, C. Jephta 47' for Inter Turku.
Head-to-head: Inter Turku vs Başakşehir
- 30 July 2026Inter Turku 2–0 BaşakşehirUEFA Europa Conference League
- 22 July 2026Başakşehir 1–1 Inter TurkuUEFA Europa Conference League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Başakşehir the highest probability at 74%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.96 expected goals for Inter Turku against 2.7 for Başakşehir. Inter Turku's attack/defence rating is 0.53/1.68 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.15/0.96 for Başakşehir.