Inter Turku vs Başakşehir UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Inter Turku 2-0 Başakşehir.
Before kick-off the model made it 10% Inter Turku, 16% draw, 74% Başakşehir — fair odds of 10.00, 6.25 and 1.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Başakşehir 1–1 Inter Turku (22 Jul) →
Inter Turku went through 3–1 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Başakşehir at 74% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Inter Turku vs Başakşehir
Line-ups
- 1Eetu HuuhtanenG
- 18Seth SaarinenD
- 22Luka KuittinenD
- 21Ilari KangasniemiD
- 2Jussi NiskaD
- 14Janne-Pekka LaineM
- 17Bismark AmpofoM
- 23Antoin Loic EssombaM
- 9Jasse TuominenM
- 16Clinton JephtaM
- 10Alie ContehF
- 24Julius TauriainenD
- 4Prosper AhiabuM
- 36Ville SeppäG
- 12Eero VuorjokiG
- 20Axel SandlerD
- 30Yeboah AmankwahD
- 26Vilho HuovilaF
- 27Vincent UlunduM
- 19Iiro JärvinenM
- 16Muhammed ŞengezerG
- 6Onur BulutD
- 23Emin BayramD
- 27Ousseynou BaD
- 21Christopher OperiD
- 5Berat ÖzdemirM
- 20Umut GüneşM
- 7Yusuf SarıM
- 14Eldor ShomurodovM
- 77Ivan BrnićM
- 9Davie SelkeF
- 11Abbosbek FayzullaevM
- 91Bertuğ YıldırımF
- 19Berkay ÖzcanM
- 1Volkan BabacanG
- 98Deniz DilmenG
- 33Michał KarbownikD
- 3Jerome OpokuD
- 15Hamza GürelerD
- 42Ömer Ali ŞahinerM
Form going into Inter Turku vs Başakşehir
Inter Turku
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Başakşehir22 July 2026
Başakşehir
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Inter Turku22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Inter Turku and Başakşehir in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Turku | Finnish Premier League | 30 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 37 | 24 | +13 | 55 |
| 12 | Başakşehir | Süper Lig | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Finnish Premier League · Süper Lig
Head-to-head: Inter Turku vs Başakşehir
- 22 July 2026Başakşehir 1–1 Inter TurkuUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Inter Turku and Başakşehir
Inter Turku
GoalsAssists
- H. Sjögrell72
- Alie Conteh30
- C. Jephta30
Başakşehir
GoalsAssists
- E. Shomurodov71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Inter Turku beat Başakşehir 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Başakşehir at 74% and given a win for Inter Turku 10%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 10 matches like this one. The goals: J. Tuominen 18' for Inter Turku, C. Jephta 47' for Inter Turku. Sent off: J. Laine (Inter Turku) 88'.