Inter Turku vs Başakşehir UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Inter Turku 2-0 Başakşehir.
Before kick-off the model made it 10% Inter Turku, 16% draw, 74% Başakşehir — fair odds of 10.00, 6.25 and 1.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Başakşehir at 74% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Inter Turku vs Başakşehir
Line-ups
- 1Eetu HuuhtanenG
- 18Seth SaarinenD
- 22Luka KuittinenD
- 21Ilari KangasniemiD
- 2Jussi NiskaD
- 14Janne-Pekka LaineM
- 17Bismark AmpofoM
- 23Antoin Loic EssombaM
- 9Jasse TuominenM
- 16Clinton JephtaM
- 10Alie ContehF
- 24Julius TauriainenD
- 4Prosper AhiabuM
- 36Ville SeppäG
- 12Eero VuorjokiG
- 20Axel SandlerD
- 30Yeboah AmankwahD
- 26Vilho HuovilaF
- 27Vincent UlunduM
- 19Iiro JärvinenM
- 16Muhammed ŞengezerG
- 6Onur BulutD
- 23Emin BayramD
- 27Ousseynou BaD
- 21Christopher OperiD
- 5Berat ÖzdemirM
- 20Umut GüneşM
- 7Yusuf SarıM
- 14Eldor ShomurodovM
- 77Ivan BrnićM
- 9Davie SelkeF
- 11Abbosbek FayzullaevM
- 91Bertuğ YıldırımF
- 19Berkay ÖzcanM
- 1Volkan BabacanG
- 98Deniz DilmenG
- 33Michał KarbownikD
- 3Jerome OpokuD
- 15Hamza GürelerD
- 42Ömer Ali ŞahinerM
Form going into Inter Turku vs Başakşehir
Inter Turku
- D1-1away to Başakşehir22 July 2026
Başakşehir
- D1-1Inter Turku22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Inter Turku and Başakşehir in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29 | 16 | +13 | 42 |
| 14 | Başakşehir | Süper Lig | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Veikkausliiga · Süper Lig
Head-to-head: Inter Turku vs Başakşehir
- 30 July 2026Inter Turku 2–0 BaşakşehirUEFA Europa Conference League
- 22 July 2026Başakşehir 1–1 Inter TurkuUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Inter Turku and Başakşehir
Inter Turku
- J. Yli-Kokko2 goals1 assists
Başakşehir
- E. Shomurodov4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.