23 July 2026, 18:45 UTC

Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Tolka Park, Dublin
Full time5 – 2

Final score: Shelbourne 5-2 Kalju Nomme.

Before kick-off the model made it 27% Shelbourne, 50% draw, 23% Kalju Nomme — fair odds of 3.70, 2.00 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts the draw at 50% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽R. Freitasassist: S. Moore
3'
7'
Maksim Podholjuzin
⚽S. Mooreassist: E. Caffrey
21'
⚽A. Cooteassist: R. Freitas
25'
30'
🔁M. Podholjuzinout: T. Baptista
40'
⚽E. E. Lotar Eyangassist: N. Ivanov
⚽S. Mooreassist: D. Kelly
47'
58'
🔁A. Nikolajevout: A. Borolinstsikov
59'
🔁N. Ivanovout: M. Orlov
🔁A. Cooteout: K. McInroy
66'
🔁S. Mooreout: W. Jarvis
75'
77'
🔁B. Vastsukout: D. Sotsugov
🔁J. Henry-Francisout: J. Lunney
81'
🔁K. Ledwidgeout: S. Bone
81'
🔁R. Freitasout: D. Ring
81'
⚽D. Ring
89'
90'
⚽E. E. Lotar Eyangassist: R. Siht

Line-ups

Shelbourne 4-4-2
  • 19Eddie BeachG
  • 25Milan MbengD
  • 29Paddy BarrettD
  • 4Kameron LedwidgeD
  • 18James NorrisD
  • 22Sean MooreF
  • 27Evan CaffreyM
  • 21Jack Henry-FrancisM
  • 14Ali CooteM
  • 20Rodrigo FreitasF
  • 17Daniel KellyM
Substitutes
  • 23Kerr McInroyM
  • 36Will JarvisF
  • 15Sam BoneD
  • 6Jonathan LunneyM
  • 44Daniel RingF
  • 13Murray JohnsonG
  • 2Sean GannonD
  • 55James RocheD
  • 60Killian RyanM
Coach: Joey O'Brien
Kalju Nomme 4-4-2
  • 1Henri PerkG
  • 78Danyl MashchenkoD
  • 50Maksim PodholjuzinD
  • 46Roko VukušićD
  • 22Aleksandr NikolajevD
  • 26Rommi SihtM
  • 20Modou TambedouD
  • 8Alexander MusolitinM
  • 59Bogdan VastsukM
  • 10Nikita IvanovM
  • 17Enrique EsonoM
Substitutes
  • 21Tiago BaptistaM
  • 4Alex BoronilštšikovD
  • 11Mihhail OrlovF
  • 88Daniil SotsugovD
  • 69Maksim PavlovG
  • 5Uku KorreD
  • 7Daniil TarassenkovD
  • 9Godwin ChinemerenF
  • 30Ibrahim JabirF
Coach: Nikita Andreev

Head-to-head: Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme

  • 23 July 2026Shelbourne 5–2 Kalju NommeUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Shelbourne and Kalju Nomme

Shelbourne

  • H. Wood7 goals5 assists
  • J. Martin6 goals2 assists
  • D. Kelly6 goals

Kalju Nomme

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.