Regular Season - 28 · 8 November 2026, 15:30 UTC

IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF Allsvenskan prediction

Grimsta IP, Stockholm

Our model says: IF Brommapojkarna 2–1 Mjallby AIF

The model makes it 47% IF Brommapojkarna, 25% draw, 28% Mjallby AIF — fair odds of 2.13, 4.00 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: IF Brommapojkarna 1.94, Mjallby AIF 1.40.

Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 65%, under 2.5: 35%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 45% of the time, over 2,236 settled matches.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 25 October 2026. IF Brommapojkarna's rating is built from 55 Allsvenskan matches and Mjallby AIF's from 54, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 682 matches.

Key facts

  • IF Brommapojkarna are 10th on 33 points from 25 games; Mjallby AIF are 12th on 23 points from 24 games — Allsvenskan.
  • IF Brommapojkarna have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win away to Kalmar FF.
  • Mjallby AIF have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Vasteras SK FK.
  • Last 6 meetings: Mjallby AIF 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 18 April 2026, ended Mjallby AIF 3–0 IF Brommapojkarna.

More Allsvenskan predictions

All Allsvenskan predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF

65%
Both teams to score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

IF Brommapojkarna win Draw Mjallby AIF win
  1. 1–110%
  2. 2–19%
  3. 1–27%
  4. 2–07%
  5. 2–27%
  6. 1–06%
  7. 3–16%

Scores read IF Brommapojkarna first. Each bar is the model's probability of that exact result, drawn against the likeliest one; the other scorelines it considered share the remaining 48%.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts IF Brommapojkarna at 47% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 2,217 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF

IF Brommapojkarna

Allsvenskan

  • W3-0away to Kalmar FF24 October 2026
  • L0-2Djurgardens IF16 October 2026
  • W6-5away to AIK Stockholm10 October 2026
  • L0-1IFK Goteborg19 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Hammarby FF13 September 2026

Mjallby AIF

Allsvenskan

  • L0-1away to Vasteras SK FK18 October 2026
  • D1-1Degerfors IF10 October 2026
  • L0-3Gais20 September 2026
  • D1-1away to AIK Stockholm16 September 2026
  • D1-1away to BK Hacken11 September 2026

What these results say

  • IF Brommapojkarna conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Mjallby AIF did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Mjallby AIF conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Mjallby AIF had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10IF Brommapojkarna2596103943-433
12Mjallby AIF2458112840-1223

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: IF Brommapojkarna vs Mjallby AIF

  • 18 April 2026Mjallby AIF 3–0 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 28 September 2025IF Brommapojkarna 0–1 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 19 May 2025Mjallby AIF 1–0 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 21 September 2024IF Brommapojkarna 0–0 Mjallby AIFAllsvenskan
  • 4 May 2024Mjallby AIF 1–1 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 15 March 2024IF Brommapojkarna 2–1 Mjallby AIFFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: IF Brommapojkarna and Mjallby AIF

IF Brommapojkarna

GoalsAssists

  • M. Hansen87

Mjallby AIF

GoalsAssists

  • J. Bergström90

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Two sides the ratings cannot separate

IF Brommapojkarna carry a model rating of 6.4 against 6.31 for Mjallby AIF. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.

The model expects goals

Under the hood the model expects 1.94 goals for IF Brommapojkarna and 1.40 for Mjallby AIF. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

IF Brommapojkarna rate 0.72 in attack and 1.81 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Mjallby AIF rate 0.56 and 1.66.

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives IF Brommapojkarna the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.94 expected goals for IF Brommapojkarna against 1.40 for Mjallby AIF. IF Brommapojkarna's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.81 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/1.66 for Mjallby AIF.

How the model reaches 47% for IF Brommapojkarna to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for IF Brommapojkarna to win. Then home advantage adds 4 points, IF Brommapojkarna's ratings take away 23 points and Mjallby AIF's ratings add 29 points, which lands on the published 47%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground37%
  2. Home advantage41%+4
  3. IF Brommapojkarna's ratings18%−23
  4. Mjallby AIF's ratings47%+29

Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.

Season stats

IF BrommapojkarnaMjallby AIF
25Matches24
9W 6D 10LRecord5W 8D 11L
39 1.6 per gameGoals scored28 1.2 per game
43 1.7 per gameGoals conceded40 1.7 per game
3 of 25Clean sheets4 of 24
5 of 25Failed to score10 of 24
1 of 2Penalties scored1 of 1
38 1.5 per gameYellow cards50 2.1 per game
2Red cards1
4-4-2 13×Usual shape3-4-3 17×

IF Brommapojkarna at home · Mjallby AIF away

12Played12
4W 3D 5LRecord2W 6D 4L
15–15Goals for – against16–21
2 of 12Clean sheets1 of 12

League matches only, Allsvenskan, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Allsvenskan matches this season: IF Brommapojkarna 25, Mjallby AIF 24.

IF Brommapojkarna scored 4816911
Mjallby AIF conceded 6741274

IF Brommapojkarna score most often in the 76–90 minute window (11 goals); Mjallby AIF have let in 4 there.

Mjallby AIF scored 442828
IF Brommapojkarna conceded 465989

Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.

The next 2 matches, by difficulty

IF Brommapojkarna

  • vs Halmstad22 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 57%
  • at Malmo FF29 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 29%

Mjallby AIF

  • vs Malmo FF21 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 32%

Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.