Halmstad
vs
Djurgardens IF
Allsvenskan prediction
Our model says: Halmstad 0–2 Djurgardens IF
The model makes it 13% Halmstad, 23% draw, 64% Djurgardens IF — fair odds of 7.69, 4.35 and 1.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (14%).
Expected goals: Halmstad 0.69, Djurgardens IF 2.10.
Both teams to score: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,566 settled matches.
One-sided: Djurgardens IF are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 25 October 2026. Halmstad's rating is built from 55 Allsvenskan matches and Djurgardens IF's from 55, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 682 matches.
Key facts
- Halmstad are bottom on 17 points from 25 games; Djurgardens IF are 2nd on 48 points from 25 games — Allsvenskan.
- Halmstad have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Vasteras SK FK.
- Djurgardens IF are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Orgryte IS.
- Last 6 meetings: Djurgardens IF 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 13 July 2026, ended Djurgardens IF 3–0 Halmstad.
More Allsvenskan predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Djurgardens IF at 64% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 1,179 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF
Halmstad
Allsvenskan
- W2-1away to Vasteras SK FK23 October 2026
- L0-1Hammarby FF18 October 2026
- L0-4away to IF Elfsborg12 October 2026
- W2-1AIK Stockholm20 September 2026
- L1-2away to IFK Goteborg12 September 2026
Djurgardens IF
Allsvenskan
- D2-2Orgryte IS24 October 2026
- W2-0away to IF Brommapojkarna16 October 2026
- W1-0away to Hammarby FF11 October 2026
- L1-2IF Elfsborg20 September 2026
- W2-0Gais14 September 2026
What these results say
- Halmstad conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Halmstad had three goals or more.
- Djurgardens IF scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Halmstad | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 17 |
| 2 | Djurgardens IF | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 52 | 23 | +29 | 48 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Halmstad vs Djurgardens IF
- 13 July 2026Djurgardens IF 3–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 3 August 2025Djurgardens IF 1–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 1 June 2025Halmstad 1–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 3 November 2024Halmstad 1–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 20 May 2024Djurgardens IF 2–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 30 September 2023Djurgardens IF 1–0 HalmstadAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Halmstad and Djurgardens IF
Halmstad
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Djurgardens IF
GoalsAssists
- K. Lien166
- Bo Åsulv Hegland1015
- C. Rosenquist71
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Halmstad carry a model rating of 6.11 against 6.74 for Djurgardens IF. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.69 goals for Halmstad and 2.10 for Djurgardens IF. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Halmstad rate 0.40 in attack and 1.79 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Djurgardens IF rate 0.85 and 1.06.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Halmstad a 0% chance of the title and Djurgardens IF 13.9%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Djurgardens IF the highest probability at 64%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.69 expected goals for Halmstad against 2.10 for Djurgardens IF. Halmstad's attack/defence rating is 0.4/1.79 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.85/1.06 for Djurgardens IF.
How the model reaches 64% for Djurgardens IF to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Djurgardens IF to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, Halmstad's ratings add 39 points and Djurgardens IF's ratings take away 7 points, which lands on the published 64%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage32%−5
- Halmstad's ratings71%+39
- Djurgardens IF's ratings64%−7
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Halmstad at home · Djurgardens IF away
League matches only, Allsvenskan, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Allsvenskan matches this season: Halmstad 25, Djurgardens IF 25.
Halmstad score most often in the 76–90 minute window (4 goals); Djurgardens IF have let in 2 there.
Djurgardens IF score most often in the 0–15 minute window (13 goals); Halmstad have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 2 matches, by difficulty
Halmstad
- at IF Brommapojkarna22 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 19%
- vs Mjallby AIF29 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 29%
Djurgardens IF
- at Sirius22 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 43%
- vs BK Hacken29 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 50%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.