Regular Season - 26 · 28 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken Allsvenskan prediction

Grimsta IP, Stockholm

Our model says: IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 BK Hacken

The model makes it 34% IF Brommapojkarna, 24% draw, 42% BK Hacken — fair odds of 2.94, 4.17 and 2.38. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: IF Brommapojkarna 1.69, BK Hacken 1.92.

Both teams to score: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%, under 2.5: 30%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Edge to BK Hacken: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published

Key facts

  • IF Brommapojkarna are 11th on 30 points from 23 games; BK Hacken are 5th on 39 points from 23 games — Allsvenskan.
  • IF Brommapojkarna have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 6-5 win away to AIK Stockholm.
  • BK Hacken are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 3-0 win at home to Orgryte IS.
  • Last 6 meetings: BK Hacken 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 6 April 2026, ended BK Hacken 2–2 IF Brommapojkarna.

More Allsvenskan predictions

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken

70%
Both teams to score
70%
Over 2.5 goals
30%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

IF Brommapojkarna win Draw BK Hacken win
  1. 1–19%
  2. 1–28%
  3. 2–17%
  4. 2–27%
  5. 1–35%
  6. 0–25%
  7. 0–15%

Scores read IF Brommapojkarna first. Each bar is the model's probability of that exact result, drawn against the likeliest one; the other scorelines it considered share the remaining 54%.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts BK Hacken at 42% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken

IF Brommapojkarna

  • W6-5away to AIK Stockholm10 October 2026
  • L0-1IFK Goteborg19 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Hammarby FF13 September 2026
  • W2-1IF Elfsborg6 September 2026
  • L0-4away to Gais31 August 2026

BK Hacken

  • W3-0Orgryte IS11 October 2026
  • W5-0away to Kalmar FF20 September 2026
  • D1-1Mjallby AIF11 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Gais5 September 2026
  • L1-3Vasteras SK FK29 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11IF Brommapojkarna238693641-530
5BK Hacken2310944230+1239

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: IF Brommapojkarna vs BK Hacken

  • 6 April 2026BK Hacken 2–2 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 5 October 2025IF Brommapojkarna 1–3 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 29 March 2025BK Hacken 2–0 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 18 August 2024IF Brommapojkarna 1–3 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 15 April 2024BK Hacken 4–3 IF BrommapojkarnaAllsvenskan
  • 2 March 2024BK Hacken 1–1 IF BrommapojkarnaSvenska Cupen

Leading scorers: IF Brommapojkarna and BK Hacken

IF Brommapojkarna

GoalsAssists

  • M. Hansen86

BK Hacken

GoalsAssists

  • G. Lindgren121
  • Julius Lindberg96
  • A. Svanbäck67

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Two sides the ratings cannot separate

IF Brommapojkarna carry a model rating of 6.38 against 6.52 for BK Hacken. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.

The model expects goals

Under the hood the model expects 1.69 goals for IF Brommapojkarna and 1.92 for BK Hacken. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

IF Brommapojkarna rate 0.72 in attack and 1.88 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; BK Hacken rate 0.74 and 1.44.

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives BK Hacken the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.69 expected goals for IF Brommapojkarna against 1.92 for BK Hacken. IF Brommapojkarna's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.88 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.74/1.44 for BK Hacken.

Season stats

IF BrommapojkarnaBK Hacken
23Matches23
8W 6D 9LRecord10W 9D 4L
36 1.6 per gameGoals scored42 1.8 per game
41 1.8 per gameGoals conceded30 1.3 per game
2 of 23Clean sheets9 of 23
4 of 23Failed to score3 of 23
1 of 2Penalties scored2 of 2
34 1.5 per gameYellow cards44 1.9 per game
2Red cards1
4-4-2 12×Usual shape4-2-3-1 17×

IF Brommapojkarna at home · BK Hacken away

11Played11
4W 3D 4LRecord5W 4D 2L
15–13Goals for – against21–12
2 of 11Clean sheets6 of 11

League matches only, Allsvenskan, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Allsvenskan matches this season: IF Brommapojkarna 23, BK Hacken 23.

IF Brommapojkarna scored 471699
BK Hacken conceded 648374
BK Hacken scored 5671048
IF Brommapojkarna conceded 365979

BK Hacken score most often in the 46–60 minute window (10 goals); IF Brommapojkarna have let in 9 there.

Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.

The next 3 matches, by difficulty

IF Brommapojkarna

  • at Vasteras SK FK1 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 29%
  • vs Mjallby AIF8 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 46%
  • vs Halmstad22 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 60%

BK Hacken

  • vs IFK Goteborg1 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 51%
  • at AIK Stockholm8 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 42%
  • vs IF Elfsborg22 Nov · Allsvenskanwin 39%

Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.