Hungary vs Georgia UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Hungary 1-0 Georgia.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Hungary, 29% draw, 26% Georgia — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Hungary at 45%: of 2,664 settled 40–50% forecasts, 45.9% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Hungary vs Georgia
Line-ups
- 1B. TóthG
- 2A. OsváthD
- 6W. OrbánD
- 3M. CsingerD
- 11M. KerkezD
- 13A. SchäferM
- 21A. TóthM
- 20M. TóthM
- 10D. SzoboszlaiM
- 18Z. NagyM
- 16D. LukacsF
- 23Á. DoktoricsM
- 8M. VitálisM
- 4B. VárkonyiD
- 14R.TóthM
- 7Tamás SzücsM
- 19J. SzalaiF
- 9D. BárányF
- 15Á. CsongvaiM
- 12B. Gundel-TakácsG
- 1G. MamardashviliG
- 5S. GoglichidzeD
- 3L. DvaliD
- 4L. LochoshviliD
- 2O. KakabadzeM
- 18I. YegoianM
- 8O. KiteishviliM
- 19G. TsitaishviliM
- 10G. ChakvetadzeM
- 22G. MikautadzeF
- 7K. KvaratskheliaF
- 21J. TabidzeD
- 20S. SazonovD
- 14A. MekvabishviliM
- 15G. MamageishviliM
- 12S. LobzhanidzeF
- 17G. KvernadzeF
- 6G. KochorashviliM
- 23L. GugeshashviliG
- 9Z. DavitashviliF
Form going into Hungary vs Georgia
Hungary
UEFA Nations League
- D0-0away to Northern Ireland28 September 2026
- L0-1Ukraine25 September 2026
Georgia
UEFA Nations League
- D0-0Ukraine28 September 2026
- L0-1Northern Ireland25 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Hungary beat Georgia 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Hungary at 45%. The goal: Milos Kerkez 35' for Hungary.