The model rates their attack at 0.95× the league average and their defence at 1.06× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better. Next they host Northern Ireland in the UEFA Nations League on 25 September 2026, a match the model gives them 38%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Georgia vs Northern Ireland
Georgia host Northern Ireland on 25 September 2026, 16:00 UTC. The model makes it 38% Georgia, 31% draw and 31% Northern Ireland, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.23 expected goals for Georgia against 1.02. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 39%.
Full preview and model analysis for Georgia vs Northern Ireland