2 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Cyprus vs Armenia UEFA Nations League prediction & result

GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Referee: Mohammad Al-Emara, Finland
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Cyprus 2-0 Armenia.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Cyprus, 29% draw, 28% Armenia — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cyprus at 43%: of 2,664 settled 40–50% forecasts, 45.9% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Cyprus99%Draw1%Armenia0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Leonidas·Konomis
19'
26'
Edgar Sevikyan
⚽Andronikos Kakoullisassist: Ioannis Pittas
31'
37'
Artem Bandikyan
45'
🔁Edgar Sevikyanout: Narek Grigoryan
•Kostas Pileas
51'
Kostas Pileas
52'
52'
🔁Artem Bandikyanout: Davit Terteryan
🔁Andronikos Kakoullisout: Giorgos Malekkidis
54'
63'
🔁Erik Simonyanout: Ugochukwu Iwu
63'
🔁Artur Miranyanout: Karen Nalbandyan
🔁Loizos Loizouout: Marinos Tzionis
68'
🔁Marcus Edwardsout: A. Neophytou
68'
78'
🔁Gor Manvelyanout: narek hovhannisyan
🔁Grigoris Kastanosout: Kostakis Artymatas
84'
🔁Ioannis Pittasout: Stavros Georgiou
84'

Match stats — Cyprus vs Armenia

33%Possession67%
8Shots17
4On target5
1Corners11

Line-ups

Cyprus 4-2-3-1
  • 1FabianoG
  • 15L. KonomisD
  • 4H. KyprianouD
  • 3N. PanagiotouD
  • 2K. PileasD
  • 16P. AndreouM
  • 20G. KastanosM
  • 10L. LoizouM
  • 23M. EdwardsM
  • 11A. KakoullisM
  • 9I. PittasF
Substitutes
  • 8C. KyriakouM
  • 14G. MalekkidesD
  • 18K. ArtymatasM
  • 22N. MichaelG
  • 13I. KostiM
  • 19S. GeorgiouF
  • 17A. ChristouD
  • 7A. NeophytouF
  • 12A. ParaskevasG
Coach: A. Mantzios
Armenia 4-3-3
  • 12A. BeglaryanG
  • 3E. PiloyanD
  • 22E. SimonyanD
  • 4G. HarutyunyanD
  • 21N. TiknizyanD
  • 2A. BandikyanM
  • 8K. HovhannisyanM
  • 10E. SpertsyanM
  • 7E. SevikyanF
  • 18A. MiranyanF
  • 14G. ManvelyanF
Substitutes
  • 23N. HovhannisyanF
  • 16G. MatinyanG
  • 11N. GrigoryanF
  • 1A. MishievG
  • 19K. MuradyanM
  • 15K. NalbandyanM
  • 5A. PetrosyanD
  • 20D. TerteryanD
  • 9N. AghasaryanM
Coach: E. Melikyan

Form going into Cyprus vs Armenia

Cyprus

UEFA Nations League

  • D0-0away to Latvia28 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Montenegro25 September 2026

Armenia

UEFA Nations League

  • L2-3Montenegro28 September 2026
  • W2-0Latvia25 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Cyprus421153+27
3Armenia411245-14

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cyprus vs Armenia

  • 28 March 2023Armenia 2–2 CyprusFriendlies
  • 13 November 2017Armenia 3–2 CyprusFriendlies

The result against the call

Cyprus beat Armenia 2–0. The model had made a win for Cyprus its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Leonidas·Konomis 19' for Cyprus, Andronikos Kakoullis 31' for Cyprus. Sent off: Kostas Pileas (Cyprus) 52'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.