The model rates their attack at 1.11× the league average and their defence at 0.77× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — the model rates them above average at both ends. Next they host Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League on 25 September 2026, a match the model gives them 41%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Hungary vs Ukraine
Hungary host Ukraine on 25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 41% Hungary, 30% draw and 29% Ukraine, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.39 expected goals for Hungary against 1.01. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 43%.
Full preview and model analysis for Hungary vs Ukraine