UEFA Europa League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Hradec Králové vs Tromso

Malsovicka arena, Hradec Kralove

Full time3 – 1

Final score: Hradec Králové 3-1 Tromso.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% Hradec Králové, 23% draw, 21% Tromso — fair odds of 1.79, 4.35 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Hradec Králové 1.97, Tromso 1.13.

Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%, under 2.5: 40%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

59%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines1-1 11%2-1 10%2-0 9%

Head-to-head: Hradec Králové vs Tromso

30 July 2026Hradec Králové 3–1 TromsoUEFA Europa League
23 July 2026Tromso 0–1 Hradec KrálovéUEFA Europa League

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Hradec Králové the highest probability at 56%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.97 expected goals for Hradec Králové against 1.13 for Tromso. Hradec Králové's attack/defence rating is 0.87/1.08 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.75/1.2 for Tromso.