UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 17:30 UTC

The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn

Park Hall, Oswestry

The model makes it 47% The New Saints, 23% draw, 30% Flora Tallinn — fair odds of 2.13, 4.35 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: The New Saints 1.89, Flora Tallinn 1.51.

Both teams to score: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

67%
Both teams to score
66%
Over 2.5 goals
34%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 10%2-1 9%1-2 7%

Head-to-head: The New Saints vs Flora Tallinn

  • 30 July 2026The New Saints 0–0 Flora TallinnUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026Flora Tallinn 1–0 The New SaintsUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives The New Saints the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.89 expected goals for The New Saints against 1.51 for Flora Tallinn. The New Saints's attack/defence rating is 0.43/2.03 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/2.33 for Flora Tallinn.