30 July 2026, 18:15 UTC

UNA Strassen vs FK Partizan UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stade de Luxembourg, Luxembourg
Full time0 – 1

Final score: UNA Strassen 0-1 FK Partizan.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% UNA Strassen, 25% draw, 29% FK Partizan — fair odds of 2.17, 4.00 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts UNA Strassen at 46% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

UNA Strassen0%Draw5%FK Partizan95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

48'
⚽B. Kosticassist: S. Petrovic
Eldin Rastoder
54'
🔁N. Perezout: Matheus Souza
59'
🔁K. Delorgeout: J. Tiago
59'
61'
🔁A. Zekovicout: Z. Alilovic
62'
🔁S. Nwuluout: M. Aleksic
62'
🔁C. Traoreout: M. Ninic
62'
🔁E. Kojzekout: M. Lekic
🔁E. Rastoderout: D. Dadashev
67'
David Dadashev
79'
🔁O. Natamiout: J. Goncalves
81'
🔁A. Zenadjiout: A. Agovic
81'
85'
🔁S. Mitrovicout: V. Marinkovic

Line-ups

UNA Strassen 3-5-2
  • 67K. OzcanG
  • 5G. GueyeM
  • 27L. Toure
  • 34T. HallD
  • 3K. DelorgeD
  • 11O. NatamiM
  • 6E. RastoderM
  • 28V. SteinmetzM
  • 94D. MyreD
  • 90N. PerezF
  • 9A. ZenadjiM
Substitutes
  • 22D. GarridoG
  • 99I. MarquesG
  • 7Matheus Souza
  • 8J. GoncalvesM
  • 14A. SacrasD
  • 17J. Tiago
  • 18D. DadashevM
  • 20A. AgovicD
Coach: Jeremy Deichelbohrer
FK Partizan 4-3-3
  • 31M. KrunicG
  • 24V. DjurdjevicD
  • 40N. SimicD
  • 23S. MitrovicD
  • 33S. PetrovicD
  • 8A. ZekovicM
  • 20S. NwuluM
  • 99B. KosticM
  • 19D. SeckM
  • 9E. KojzekF
  • 7C. TraoreM
Substitutes
  • 1M. MilosevicG
  • 17M. AleksicM
  • 30M. RoganovicD
  • 32N. Trifunovic
  • 36O. UgresicM
  • 39I. ZubairuM
  • 42M. NinicF
  • 44S. MilicD
  • 46M. LekicF
Coach: Sasa Ilic

Form going into UNA Strassen vs FK Partizan

UNA Strassen

  • L0-4away to FK Partizan23 July 2026

FK Partizan

  • W4-0UNA Strassen23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: UNA Strassen vs FK Partizan

  • 30 July 2026UNA Strassen 0–0 FK PartizanUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026FK Partizan 4–0 UNA StrassenUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: UNA Strassen and FK Partizan

UNA Strassen

No leading scorers listed yet.

FK Partizan

  • E. Kojzek2 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.