UEFA Europa League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş

MCH Arena, Herning

Full time0 – 2

Final score: FC Midtjylland 0-2 Beşiktaş.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% FC Midtjylland, 22% draw, 46% Beşiktaş — fair odds of 3.13, 4.55 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: FC Midtjylland 1.62, Beşiktaş 1.96.

Both teams to score: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 69%, under 2.5: 31%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

69%

Both teams to score

69%

Over 2.5 goals

31%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines1-1 9%1-2 9%2-1 7%

Head-to-head: FC Midtjylland vs Beşiktaş

30 July 2026FC Midtjylland 0–0 BeşiktaşUEFA Europa League
23 July 2026Beşiktaş 1–0 FC MidtjyllandUEFA Europa League

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Beşiktaş the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.62 expected goals for FC Midtjylland against 1.96 for Beşiktaş. FC Midtjylland's attack/defence rating is 0.66/1.31 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.07/1.3 for Beşiktaş.