23 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

Tromso vs Hradec Králové UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Alfheim, Tromso
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Tromso 0-1 Hradec Králové.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Tromso, 25% draw, 45% Hradec Králové — fair odds of 3.33, 4.00 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Hradec Králové at 45% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

46'
František Čech
52'
Adam Vlkanova
⚽Jens Hjertø-Dahl (pen)
53'
60'
🔁T. Sloncikout: M. van Buren
60'
🔁D. Trubacout: S. Dancak
🔁R. Jenssenout: L. O. Larsen
62'
🔁H. Larsenout: Ieltsin Camoes
62'
🔁L. Cornicout: S. Innvaer
66'
70'
🔁A. Vlkanovaout: J. Kucera
81'
🔁T. Wiesnerout: A. Umar
85'
⚽M. van Buren
🔁T. Nyhammerout: D. Braut
88'
🔁A. Thongla-Iad Warnerydout: I. Dahlqvist
88'
David Edvardsson
90+2'

Line-ups

Tromso 5-3-2
  • 1J. HaugaardG
  • 2L. CornicD
  • 21T. GuddalD
  • 30I. VadebuD
  • 4V. SkjaervikD
  • 29A. Thongla-Iad WarnerydD
  • 5D. EdvardssonM
  • 11R. JenssenM
  • 6J. Hjerto-DahlM
  • 10T. NyhammerM
  • 22H. LarsenM
Substitutes
  • 12O. LauvliG
  • 32A. SarrG
  • 3M. TonnessenD
  • 7L. O. LarsenF
  • 8J. GrundtM
  • 9D. BrautF
  • 16B. Myrvold
  • 17I. DahlqvistM
  • 19A. L. ElvebuF
Coach: Jorgen Vik
Hradec Králové 3-4-2-1
  • 12A. ZadrazilG
  • 7J. UhrincatD
  • 5F. CihakD
  • 25F. CechD
  • 21T. WiesnerM
  • 16V. DaridaM
  • 27D. TrubacM
  • 26D. HorakM
  • 58A. VlkanovaF
  • 19T. SloncikF
  • 17O. MihalikF
Substitutes
  • 1P. VizekG
  • 20M. VagnerG
  • 2D. LudvicekD
  • 6E. NetoM
  • 10M. van BurenF
  • 11S. DancakM
  • 14J. HodekF
  • 18M. RegzaF
  • 22S. PonikelskyM
Coach: David Horejs

Form going into Tromso vs Hradec Králové

Tromso

  • W4-1away to Ham-Kam18 July 2026

Hradec Králové

No earlier matches on record this season.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Tromso and Hradec Králové in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
4TromsoEliteserien2010553727+1035
6Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga842287+114

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Eliteserien · Czech Liga

Head-to-head: Tromso vs Hradec Králové

  • 23 July 2026Tromso 0–1 Hradec KrálovéUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Tromso and Hradec Králové

Tromso

  • H. Larsen9 goals3 assists
  • J. Hjertø-Dahl7 goals2 assists

Hradec Králové

  • T. Slončík3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.