Hradec Králové
vs
Bohemians 1905
Czech Liga prediction
Our model says: Hradec Králové 1–0 Bohemians 1905
The model makes it 41% Hradec Králové, 31% draw, 28% Bohemians 1905 — fair odds of 2.44, 3.23 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Hradec Králové 1.25, Bohemians 1905 0.92.
Both teams to score: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 37%, under 2.5: 63%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Hradec Králové's rating is built from 49 Czech Liga matches and Bohemians 1905's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 670 matches.
Key facts
- Hradec Králové are 11th on 18 points from 14 games; Bohemians 1905 are 9th on 20 points from 14 games — Czech Liga.
- Hradec Králové have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 5-0 win at home to Sigma Olomouc.
- Bohemians 1905 have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to Slovan Liberec.
- Last 6 meetings: Hradec Králové 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 2 August 2026, ended Bohemians 1905 0–0 Hradec Králové.
More Czech Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Hradec Králové vs Bohemians 1905
Has the model earned this number?
Hradec Králové at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Hradec Králové vs Bohemians 1905
Hradec Králové
Czech Liga
- W5-0Sigma Olomouc7 November 2026
- L1-3away to Mlada Boleslav1 November 2026
- L1-2FK Jablonec25 October 2026
- D0-0away to Slavia Praha17 October 2026
- L2-4Artis10 October 2026
Bohemians 1905
Czech Liga
- L0-1away to Slovan Liberec7 November 2026
- W2-1away to Artis4 November 2026
- D0-0Sparta Praha1 November 2026
- D2-2away to Zbrojovka Brno24 October 2026
- W1-0Mlada Boleslav14 October 2026
What these results say
- Hradec Králové failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hradec Králové scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Hradec Králové had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 20 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Hradec Králové
Chance to finish in the top ten · 75% today
Bohemians 1905
Chance to finish in the top ten · 70% today
From our Czech Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Hradec Králové vs Bohemians 1905
- 2 August 2026Bohemians 1905 0–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 5 April 2026Hradec Králové 2–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 2 November 2025Bohemians 1905 1–2 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 25 May 2025Hradec Králové 2–0 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
- 18 May 2025Bohemians 1905 1–0 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga
- 16 February 2025Hradec Králové 2–2 Bohemians 1905Czech Liga
Leading scorers: Hradec Králové and Bohemians 1905
Hradec Králové
GoalsAssists
- T. Čvančara41
- T. Slončík40
Bohemians 1905
GoalsAssists
- A. Čermák52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour Bohemians 1905 (9th, with Hradec Králové 11th), while our numbers lean to Hradec Králové. Hradec Králové rate 0.81 in attack and 1.11 in defence, Bohemians 1905 0.65 and 1.02 (lower is better in defence), so Hradec Králové have been the better side in attack on recent expected goals, which the 2-point gap in the table does not yet show. Playing at home adds the rest.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hradec Králové the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.25 expected goals for Hradec Králové against 0.92 for Bohemians 1905. Hradec Králové's attack/defence rating is 0.81/1.11 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.65/1.02 for Bohemians 1905.
How the model reaches 41% for Hradec Králové to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Hradec Králové to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 3 points, Hradec Králové's ratings add 3 points and Bohemians 1905's ratings change nothing, which lands on the published 41%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage41%+5
- Both sides at this match's level38%−3
- Hradec Králové's ratings41%+3
- Bohemians 1905's ratings41%±0
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Hradec Králové at home · Bohemians 1905 away
League matches only, Czech Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Position by match
Hradec KrálovéBohemians 1905
Hradec Králové are 11th after 14 Czech Liga matches (between 4th and 11th so far); Bohemians 1905 are 9th after 14 (between 7th and 15th). How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Czech Liga matches this season: Hradec Králové 14, Bohemians 1905 14.
Hradec Králové score most often in the 46–60 minute window (6 goals); Bohemians 1905 have let in 3 there.
Bohemians 1905 score most often in the 61–75 minute window (4 goals); Hradec Králové have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Hradec Králové
- at Baník Ostrava6 Dec · Czech Ligawin 42%
- vs Zbrojovka Brno12 Dec · Czech Ligawin 51%
- at Plzen30 Jan · Czech Ligawin 23%
- vs Slovan Liberec6 Feb · Czech Ligawin 36%
Bohemians 1905
- vs Zlin6 Dec · Czech Ligawin 51%
- at FK Jablonec13 Dec · Czech Ligawin 33%
- vs Slavia Praha30 Jan · Czech Ligawin 16%
- at Mlada Boleslav6 Feb · Czech Ligawin 26%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.