23 July 2026, 18:45 UTC

Motherwell vs HB Torshavn UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Fir Park, Motherwell
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Motherwell 2-0 HB Torshavn.

Before kick-off the model made it 24% Motherwell, 35% draw, 41% HB Torshavn — fair odds of 4.17, 2.86 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: HB Torshavn v Motherwell, 30 Jul →

Motherwell went through 5–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts HB Torshavn at 41% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Moormann
15'
⚽L. Fadingerassist: M. Booth
57'
🔁J. Girdwood-Reichout: L. Ross
68'
🔁W. Vogtout: E. Longelo
68'
70'
🔁D. Soyluout: H. Sorensen
70'
🔁J. Thomsenout: S. B. Pettersen
73'
🔁H. Mohrout: S. Joensen
🔁D. Williamsout: R. Charles-Cook
78'
86'
🔁M. Vossout: E. Mouritsen
86'
🔁H. Hansenout: J. Lon
🔁M. Moormannout: O. Whyte
90+3'
🔁I. Saidout: L. Weir
90+3'

Line-ups

Motherwell 4-3-3
  • 13Alex PaulsenG
  • 7Tom SparrowM
  • 3Jake Girdwood-ReichD
  • 5Martin MoormannD
  • 23Ewan WilsonD
  • 20Dylan WilliamsM
  • 8Lukas FadingerM
  • 12Oscar PriestmanM
  • 77Willy VogtF
  • 27Mikey BoothM
  • 19Ibrahim SaidM
Substitutes
  • 45Emmanuel LongeloD
  • 24Luca RossF
  • 77Regan Charles-CookF
  • 25Olly WhyteM
  • 36Lucas WeirF
  • 21Matty ConnellyG
  • 31Jack McConnellG
  • 30Jack DalzielD
  • 43Samuel NganduD
Coach: Jens Askou
HB Torshavn 4-3-3
  • 1Bjarti Vitalis MørkG
  • 15Heri MohrD
  • 6Áki JohannesenD
  • 3Per-Magnus SteiringD
  • 11Ási DamD
  • 5Noah MneneyM
  • 4Hedin HansenM
  • 8Dan Í SoyluM
  • 7Mathias VossD
  • 23Jákup ThomsenF
  • 22Ári Mohr JónssonD
Substitutes
  • 9Heini SørensenM
  • 25Storm PettersenF
  • 24Silas JoensenD
  • 30Jogvan i LonD
  • 21Ejvind MouritsenM
  • 13Tróndur SjúrdarsonG
  • 12Teitur GestssonG
  • 18Stefan RadosavljevićM
  • 27Jogvan i SkalaM
Coach: Andre Olsen

Leading scorers: Motherwell and HB Torshavn

Motherwell

GoalsAssists

  • A. Lowry31

HB Torshavn

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Motherwell beat HB Torshavn 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for HB Torshavn at 41% and given a win for Motherwell 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: M. Moormann 15' for Motherwell, L. Fadinger 57' for Motherwell.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.