FC Copenhagen vs Polessya UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FC Copenhagen 2-1 Polessya.
Before kick-off the model made it 65% FC Copenhagen, 17% draw, 18% Polessya — fair odds of 1.54, 5.88 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Polessya 3–3 FC Copenhagen (23 Jul) →
FC Copenhagen went through 5–4 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Copenhagen at 65% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Copenhagen vs Polessya
Line-ups
- 1D. KotarskiG
- 33A. KralD
- 2F. BeijmoD
- 20J. SuzukiD
- 15M. LopezD
- 36W. ClemM
- 27T. DelaneyM
- 10M. ElyounoussiM
- 21M. MadsenM
- 16RobertM
- 14A. CorneliusF
- 31R. A. RunarssonG
- 51T. Breum-HarildG
- 24B. MelingD
- 9Y. MoukokoF
- 45G. OlsenF
- 37M. NyassiD
- 40H. HaraldsenD
- 11J. LarssonF
- 4M. GaranangaD
- 77G. BushchanG
- 31G. MaisuradzeD
- 44S. ChobotenkoD
- 55B. KrushynskyiD
- 15B. MykhaylichenkoD
- 18O. AndriyevskiM
- 8R. BabenkoM
- 27O. FedorM
- 11Leandro AndradeF
- 95I. KrasnopirF
- 7O. NazarenkoF
- 12A. DrobotG
- 1O. KudrykG
- 19V. ShepelevM
- 89M. GayduchykF
- 14L. EmerllahuM
- 94D. Gryshkevych
- 9O. FilippovF
- 4M. KravchenkoD
- 45M. BragaruM
Form going into FC Copenhagen vs Polessya
FC Copenhagen
All competitions we cover
- W3-2Lyngby26 July 2026
- D3-3away to Polessya23 July 2026
Polessya
All competitions we cover
- D3-3FC Copenhagen23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
FC Copenhagen and Polessya in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FC Copenhagen | UEFA Europa Conference League | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 4 |
| 1 | Polessya | Premier League | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | +15 | 25 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Premier League
Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs Polessya
- 23 July 2026Polessya 3–3 FC CopenhagenUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: FC Copenhagen and Polessya
FC Copenhagen
GoalsAssists
- A. Cornelius52
- M. Elyounoussi43
- Robert41
Polessya
GoalsAssists
- I. Krasnopir70
- V. Veleten30
- Leandro Andrade20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Copenhagen beat Polessya 2–1. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for FC Copenhagen at 65%. The goals: M. Elyounoussi (penalty) 27' for FC Copenhagen, Robert 61' for FC Copenhagen, M. Gayduchyk 90' for Polessya. Sent off: Junnosuke Suzuki (FC Copenhagen) 46'.