29 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

FC Copenhagen vs Polessya UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FC Copenhagen 2-1 Polessya.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% FC Copenhagen, 17% draw, 18% Polessya — fair odds of 1.54, 5.88 and 5.56. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Copenhagen at 65% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Copenhagen99%Draw1%Polessya0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽M. Elyounoussi (pen)
27'
30'
Oleksandr Nazarenko
Junnosuke Suzuki
46'
🔁W. Clemout: M. Garananga
53'
57'
🔁O. Andriyevskiout: L. Emerllahu
57'
🔁O. Nazarenkoout: M. Bragaru
⚽Robertassist: M. Madsen
61'
Thomas Delaney
66'
69'
🔁O. Fedorout: M. Gayduchyk
69'
🔁R. Babenkoout: O. Filippov
74'
🔁G. Maisuradzeout: V. Veleten
🔁T. Delaneyout: B. Meling
77'
🔁Robertout: J. Larsson
88'
90'
⚽M. Gayduchykassist: B. Krushynskyi

Match stats — FC Copenhagen vs Polessya

30%Possession70%
5Shots26
2On target4
2Corners14

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen 4-2-3-1
  • 1D. KotarskiG
  • 33A. KralD
  • 2F. BeijmoD
  • 20J. SuzukiD
  • 15M. LopezD
  • 36W. ClemM
  • 27T. DelaneyM
  • 10M. ElyounoussiM
  • 21M. MadsenM
  • 16RobertM
  • 14A. CorneliusF
Substitutes
  • 31R. A. RunarssonG
  • 51T. Breum-HarildG
  • 24B. MelingD
  • 9Y. MoukokoF
  • 45G. OlsenF
  • 37M. NyassiD
  • 40H. HaraldsenD
  • 11J. LarssonF
  • 4M. GaranangaD
Coach: Bo Svensson
Polessya 4-3-3
  • 77G. BushchanG
  • 31G. MaisuradzeD
  • 44S. ChobotenkoD
  • 55B. KrushynskyiD
  • 15B. MykhaylichenkoD
  • 18O. AndriyevskiM
  • 8R. BabenkoM
  • 27O. FedorM
  • 11Leandro AndradeF
  • 95I. KrasnopirF
  • 7O. NazarenkoF
Substitutes
  • 12A. DrobotG
  • 1O. KudrykG
  • 19V. ShepelevM
  • 89M. GayduchykF
  • 14L. EmerllahuM
  • 94D. Gryshkevych
  • 9O. FilippovF
  • 4M. KravchenkoD
  • 45M. BragaruM
Coach: Ruslan Rotan

Form going into FC Copenhagen vs Polessya

FC Copenhagen

  • W3-2Lyngby26 July 2026
  • D3-3away to Polessya23 July 2026

Polessya

  • D3-3FC Copenhagen23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs Polessya

  • 29 July 2026FC Copenhagen 1–0 PolessyaUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026Polessya 3–3 FC CopenhagenUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: FC Copenhagen and Polessya

FC Copenhagen

  • M. Elyounoussi6 goals2 assists
  • B. Meling4 goals1 assists

Polessya

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.