FC Copenhagen
vs
Polessya
Final score: FC Copenhagen 2-1 Polessya.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% FC Copenhagen, 20% draw, 24% Polessya — fair odds of 1.79, 5.00 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: FC Copenhagen 2.43, Polessya 1.58.
Both teams to score: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%, under 2.5: 24%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Match stats: FC Copenhagen vs Polessya
FC Copenhagen had 30% possession, 5 shots (2 on target), 2 corners; Polessya had 70% possession, 26 shots (4 on target), 14 corners.
Goals: M. Elyounoussi (penalty) 27' for FC Copenhagen, Robert 61' for FC Copenhagen, M. Gayduchyk 90' for Polessya.
Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs Polessya
- 29 July 2026FC Copenhagen 1–0 PolessyaUEFA Europa Conference League
- 23 July 2026Polessya 3–3 FC CopenhagenUEFA Europa Conference League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Copenhagen the highest probability at 56%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.43 expected goals for FC Copenhagen against 1.58 for Polessya. FC Copenhagen's attack/defence rating is 0.88/1.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.97/1.46 for Polessya.