21 July 2026

Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League prediction & result

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Final score: Vikingur Reykjavik 2-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Before kick-off the model made it 75% Vikingur Reykjavik, 12% draw, 13% Hapoel Beer Sheva — fair odds of 1.33, 8.33 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 4-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Hapoel Beer Sheva v Vikingur Reykjavik, 29 Jul →

Hapoel Beer Sheva went through 3–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Vikingur Reykjavik at 75% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

41'
Kings Kangwa
⚽N. Hansenassist: O. Ekroth
48'
51'
⚽K. Kangwaassist: I. Zlatanovic
63'
Miguel Vítor
63'
🔁A. C. Ganahout: Z. Ahmed
71'
🔁K. Kangwaout: E. Peretz
71'
🔁M. Abu Rumiout: J. East
Valdimar Þór Ingimundarson
76'
🔁G. Vatnhamarout: S. Thorkelsson
77'
🔁D. Hafsteinssonout: V. Andrason
77'
🔁A. Thrandarsonout: D. Jonsson
77'
⚽N. Hansenassist: O. Borgthorsson
86'
88'
🔁Miguel Vitorout: I. Rotman
88'
🔁I. Zlatanovicout: A. Ohana
🔁N. Hansenout: S. Thordarson
90+2'

Line-ups

Vikingur Reykjavik 4-3-3
  • 29A. FridrikssonG
  • 22K. GunnarssonD
  • 4O. EkrothD
  • 6G. VatnhamarD
  • 9H. GudjonssonD
  • 21A. ThrandarsonM
  • 11D. HafsteinssonM
  • 10G. SigurdssonM
  • 19O. BorgthorssonM
  • 23N. HansenF
  • 25V. IngimundarsonF
Substitutes
  • 47O. KristinssonG
  • 2S. ThorkelssonD
  • 7E. AgnarssonM
  • 8V. AndrasonM
  • 15R. ThorkelssonD
  • 18D. JonssonM
  • 20T. IbrahimagicD
  • 24D. AtlasonD
  • 30S. HaukssonM
Coach: Solvi Ottesen
Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-3-3
  • 1O. MarcianoG
  • 2G. MizrahiD
  • 44D. T. Diop
  • 4Miguel VitorD
  • 13O. DavidzadaD
  • 28N. YehoshuaM
  • 25Lucas VenturaM
  • 17K. KangwaM
  • 45M. Abu Rumi
  • 66I. ZlatanovicF
  • 11A. C. GanahF
Substitutes
  • 34M. WolffG
  • 7E. PeretzM
  • 8H. KanaanF
  • 9Z. AhmedF
  • 12I. RotmanD
  • 18R. LevyM
  • 19A. OhanaF
  • 20J. EastF
  • 21Y. KorenF
Coach: Ran Kozuch

The result against the call

Vikingur Reykjavik beat Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–1. The model had made a win for Vikingur Reykjavik its most likely outcome, at 75%, so the call held; the score it named was 4–1. The goals: N. Hansen 48' for Vikingur Reykjavik, K. Kangwa 51' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, N. Hansen 86' for Vikingur Reykjavik.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.