Regular Season - 30 · 29 November 2026, 14:00 UTC

Djurgardens IF vs BK Hacken Allsvenskan prediction

3Arena, Stockholm

Our model says: Djurgardens IF 2–1 BK Hacken

The model makes it 47% Djurgardens IF, 26% draw, 27% BK Hacken — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Expected goals: Djurgardens IF 1.78, BK Hacken 1.23.

Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Djurgardens IF's rating is built from 58 Allsvenskan matches and BK Hacken's from 58, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 708 matches.

Key facts

  • Djurgardens IF are 3rd on 52 points from 28 games; BK Hacken are 4th on 49 points from 28 games — Allsvenskan.
  • Djurgardens IF have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Halmstad.
  • BK Hacken have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to AIK Stockholm.
  • Last 6 meetings: Djurgardens IF 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 6 July 2026, ended BK Hacken 2–4 Djurgardens IF.

More Allsvenskan predictions

All Allsvenskan predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Djurgardens IF vs BK Hacken

59%
Both teams to score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Djurgardens IF win Draw BK Hacken win
  1. 1–111%
  2. 2–110%
  3. 1–08%
  4. 2–08%
  5. 1–27%
  6. 2–26%
  7. 3–16%

Scores read Djurgardens IF first; the other scorelines share the remaining 45%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Djurgardens IF at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Djurgardens IF vs BK Hacken

Djurgardens IF

Allsvenskan

  • L1-2away to Halmstad8 November 2026
  • W2-1Degerfors IF1 November 2026
  • D1-1away to IFK Goteborg28 October 2026
  • D2-2Orgryte IS24 October 2026
  • W2-0away to IF Brommapojkarna16 October 2026

BK Hacken

Allsvenskan

  • L2-3away to AIK Stockholm8 November 2026
  • W1-0IFK Goteborg1 November 2026
  • D0-0away to IF Brommapojkarna28 October 2026
  • W4-0Degerfors IF24 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Malmo FF18 October 2026

What these results say

  • Djurgardens IF scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Djurgardens IF conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Djurgardens IF.
  • BK Hacken scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • BK Hacken kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Djurgardens IF2816485627+2952
4BK Hacken28131055033+1749

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: Djurgardens IF vs BK Hacken

  • 6 July 2026BK Hacken 2–4 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
  • 27 July 2025BK Hacken 1–6 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
  • 25 May 2025Djurgardens IF 1–1 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 19 September 2024BK Hacken 1–2 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
  • 8 April 2024Djurgardens IF 3–3 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 26 June 2023BK Hacken 0–1 Djurgardens IFFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Djurgardens IF and BK Hacken

Djurgardens IF

GoalsAssists

  • K. Lien166
  • Bo Åsulv Hegland1116
  • C. Rosenquist81

BK Hacken

GoalsAssists

  • G. Lindgren132
  • Julius Lindberg98
  • A. Svanbäck88

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Djurgardens IF a 0.1% chance of the title and BK Hacken 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Djurgardens IF BK Hacken
0.83 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.75
1.2 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.33
1.78 Model expected goals (this match) 1.23

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Djurgardens IF the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.78 expected goals for Djurgardens IF against 1.23 for BK Hacken. Djurgardens IF's attack/defence rating is 0.83/1.2 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.75/1.33 for BK Hacken.

Djurgardens IF carry a model rating of 6.67 against 6.56 for BK Hacken. A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.

How the model reaches 47% for Djurgardens IF to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Djurgardens IF to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, Djurgardens IF's ratings add 3 points and BK Hacken's ratings add 3 points, which lands on the published 47%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage41%+5
  3. Djurgardens IF's ratings44%+3
  4. BK Hacken's ratings47%+3

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Djurgardens IFBK Hacken
28Matches28
16W 4D 8LRecord13W 10D 5L
56 2.0 per gameGoals scored50 1.8 per game
27 1.0 per gameGoals conceded33 1.2 per game
13 of 28Clean sheets13 of 28
3 of 28Failed to score4 of 28
0 of 1Penalties scored2 of 2
38 1.4 per gameYellow cards50 1.8 per game
2Red cards1
4-2-3-1 26×Usual shape4-2-3-1 21×

Djurgardens IF at home · BK Hacken away

14Played14
7W 2D 5LRecord6W 5D 3L
34–17Goals for – against24–15
5 of 14Clean sheets8 of 14

League matches only, Allsvenskan, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Allsvenskan matches this season: Djurgardens IF 28, BK Hacken 28.

Djurgardens IF scored 146101088
BK Hacken conceded 668475

Djurgardens IF score most often in the 0–15 minute window (14 goals); BK Hacken have let in 6 there.

BK Hacken scored 7781258
Djurgardens IF conceded 195263

BK Hacken score most often in the 46–60 minute window (12 goals); Djurgardens IF have let in 2 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.