Regular Season - 14 · 22 November 2026, 15:00 UTC

Nyiregyhaza vs Debreceni VSC NB I prediction

Our model says: Nyiregyhaza 1–2 Debreceni VSC

The model makes it 28% Nyiregyhaza, 25% draw, 47% Debreceni VSC — fair odds of 3.57, 4.00 and 2.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

Expected goals: Nyiregyhaza 1.36, Debreceni VSC 1.94.

Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,920 settled matches.

Edge to Debreceni VSC: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published 8 November 2026 · updated 12 November 2026

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 12 November 2026. Nyiregyhaza's rating is built from 46 Hungarian NB I matches and Debreceni VSC's from 46, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 473 matches.

Key facts

Nyiregyhaza are bottom on 12 points from 13 games; Debreceni VSC are 4th on 22 points from 13 games — NB I.
Nyiregyhaza have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Gyori ETO FC.
Debreceni VSC are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 3-1 win at home to Ujpest.
Last 6 meetings: Debreceni VSC 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 9 August 2026, ended Debreceni VSC 1–0 Nyiregyhaza.

More Hungarian NB I predictions

All Hungarian NB I predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Nyiregyhaza vs Debreceni VSC

64%

Both teams to score

64%

Over 2.5 goals

36%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Nyiregyhaza win Draw Debreceni VSC win

1–110%
1–29%
0–27%
0–17%
2–17%
2–26%
1–36%

Scores read Nyiregyhaza first; the other scorelines share the remaining 48%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

Debreceni VSC at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Nyiregyhaza vs Debreceni VSC

Nyiregyhaza

NB I

D1-1Gyori ETO FC8 November 2026
L1-2away to Ujpest1 November 2026
W2-1away to Puskas Academy25 October 2026
L0-1Budapest Honved17 October 2026
L1-5away to Zalaegerszegi TE11 October 2026

Debreceni VSC

NB I

W3-1Ujpest8 November 2026
W3-1away to Puskas Academy1 November 2026
W2-0away to Budapest Honved24 October 2026
W3-0Zalaegerszegi TE18 October 2026
D1-1away to Ferencvarosi TC10 October 2026

What these results say

Nyiregyhaza conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
Nyiregyhaza failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Nyiregyhaza scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Debreceni VSC went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
Debreceni VSC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
Debreceni VSC won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

NB I table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Nyiregyhaza	13	3	3	7	14	24	-10	12
4	Debreceni VSC	13	6	4	3	24	18	+6	22

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Nyiregyhaza

Chance to finish in the bottom two · 50% today

Win 40%

Draw 50%

Defeat 55%

Debreceni VSC

Chance to finish in the top three · 50% today

Win 56%

Draw 47%

Defeat 43%

From our NB I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Nyiregyhaza vs Debreceni VSC

9 August 2026Debreceni VSC 1–0 NyiregyhazaNB I
14 March 2026Debreceni VSC 1–1 NyiregyhazaNB I
28 November 2025Nyiregyhaza 0–3 Debreceni VSCNB I
17 August 2025Debreceni VSC 1–2 NyiregyhazaNB I
25 April 2025Nyiregyhaza 1–0 Debreceni VSCNB I
2 February 2025Debreceni VSC 3–1 NyiregyhazaNB I

Leading scorers: Nyiregyhaza and Debreceni VSC

Nyiregyhaza

GoalsAssists

M. Kvasina41

Debreceni VSC

GoalsAssists

Á. Szendrei62
B. Dzsudzsák42
C. Denes33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Nyiregyhaza a 0% chance of the title and Debreceni VSC 7.9%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Nyiregyhaza Debreceni VSC

0.6 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.8

1.73 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.37

1.36 Model expected goals (this match) 1.94

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Debreceni VSC the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.36 expected goals for Nyiregyhaza against 1.94 for Debreceni VSC. Nyiregyhaza's attack/defence rating is 0.6/1.73 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.8/1.37 for Debreceni VSC.

Nyiregyhaza carry a model rating of 6.32 against 6.58 for Debreceni VSC.

How the model reaches 47% for Debreceni VSC to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Debreceni VSC to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, Nyiregyhaza's ratings add 7 points and Debreceni VSC's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 47%.

Two average sides, neutral ground37%
Home advantage32%−5
Both sides at this match's level33%+1
Nyiregyhaza's ratings40%+7
Debreceni VSC's ratings47%+7

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Goal trends

NyiregyhazaModelDebreceni VSC

Over 1.5 goals

90%

9 of 10 games

85%

model, this match

90%

9 of 10 games

Over 2.5 goals

60%

6 of 10 games

64%

model, this match

60%

6 of 10 games

Over 3.5 goals

20%

2 of 10 games

42%

model, this match

50%

5 of 10 games

Both teams score

90%

9 of 10 games

64%

model, this match

70%

7 of 10 games

Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.

Season stats

NyiregyhazaDebreceni VSC

13Matches13

3W 3D 7LRecord6W 4D 3L

14 1.1 per gameGoals scored24 1.8 per game

24 1.8 per gameGoals conceded18 1.4 per game

0 of 13Clean sheets4 of 13

3 of 13Failed to score2 of 13

0 of 1Penalties scored1 of 1

40 3.1 per gameYellow cards37 2.8 per game

1Red cards1

4-4-2 6×Usual shape4-2-3-1 10×

Nyiregyhaza at home · Debreceni VSC away

6Played6

2W 3D 1LRecord3W 2D 1L

7–6Goals for – against12–8

0 of 6Clean sheets2 of 6

League matches only, NB I, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Position by match

NyiregyhazaDebreceni VSC

Nyiregyhaza are 12th after 13 NB I matches (between 1st and 12th so far); Debreceni VSC are 4th after 13 (between 3rd and 12th). How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All NB I matches this season: Nyiregyhaza 13, Debreceni VSC 13.

Nyiregyhaza scored 313303

Debreceni VSC conceded 145143

Debreceni VSC scored 523515

Nyiregyhaza conceded 322936

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 5 matches, by difficulty

Nyiregyhaza

at Kisvarda FC28 Nov · NB Iwin 31%
vs MTK Budapest5 Dec · NB Iwin 44%
at Paks12 Dec · NB Iwin 22%
vs Vasas19 Dec · NB Iwin 34%
at Ferencvarosi TC30 Jan · NB Iwin 13%

Debreceni VSC

at Gyori ETO FC27 Nov · NB Iwin 30%
vs Kisvarda FC5 Dec · NB Iwin 53%
at MTK Budapest13 Dec · NB Iwin 50%
vs Paks19 Dec · NB Iwin 46%
at Vasas30 Jan · NB Iwin 39%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.