13 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla, Zabrze
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Ferencvarosi TC.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Gornik Zabrze, 32% draw, 22% Ferencvarosi TC — fair odds of 2.17, 3.13 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Gornik Zabrze at 46% here. Across 2813 settled matches, 1297 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

26'
A. Osvath
44'
P. Rommens
⚽K. Urbanski (pen)
45'
59'
🔁G. Kanichowskyout: N. Keita
59'
🔁P. Rommensout: A. Nagy
72'
🔁Deleout: C. O'Dowda
🔁P. Bernardoout: L. Sadilek
79'
🔁Peter Federicoout: T. Ismaheel
79'
82'
⚽M. Sacek (OG)
🔁E. Janzaout: O. Zmrzly
89'
🔁M. Khlanout: Y. Ikia Dimi
89'
90+3'
🔁Caduout: N. Zohore
90+3'
🔁L. Josephout: K. Kodro

Line-ups

Gornik Zabrze
  • 1P. Schulze
  • 61M. Sacek
  • 26R. Janicki
  • 20Josema
  • 64E. Janza
  • 82K. Urbanski
  • 66M. Dietz
  • 8P. Bernardo
  • 19Peter Federico
  • 11E. Prekop
  • 33M. Khlan
Substitutes
  • 99T. Loska
  • 29W. Kania
  • 4P. Bochniewicz
  • 21O. Zmrzly
  • 2P. Warczak
  • 18L. Sadilek
  • 28B. Donio
  • 36M. Rakoczy
  • 23S. Liseth
Coach: Michal Gasparik
Ferencvarosi TC
  • 90D. Dibusz
  • 14A. Osvath
  • 28T. Raemaekers
  • 4M. Gomez
  • 20Cadu
  • 17M. Corbu
  • 88P. Rommens
  • 16K. Zachariassen
  • 36G. Kanichowsky
  • 11Dele
  • 75L. Joseph
Substitutes
  • 1A. Varga
  • 54O. Nagy
  • 5N. Zohore
  • 71C. Lakatos
  • 76K. Lisztes
  • 47C. O'Dowda
  • 8N. Keita
  • 6A. Nagy
  • 24K. Kodro
Coach: Balazs Borbely

Form going into Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC

Gornik Zabrze

  • W3-1away to Radomiak Radom8 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Ferencvarosi TC5 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Korona Kielce1 August 2026
  • D1-1Fenerbahçe29 July 2026
  • W2-1Slask Wroclaw25 July 2026

Ferencvarosi TC

  • W1-0Gornik Zabrze5 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Gornik Zabrze and Ferencvarosi TC in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
1Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa9711168+822
6Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League110031+23

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Ekstraklasa · UEFA Europa League

Head-to-head: Gornik Zabrze vs Ferencvarosi TC

  • 13 August 2026Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Ferencvarosi TCUEFA Europa League
  • 5 August 2026Ferencvarosi TC 1–0 Gornik ZabrzeUEFA Europa League

Leading scorers: Gornik Zabrze and Ferencvarosi TC

Gornik Zabrze

  • Peter4 goals

Ferencvarosi TC

  • B. Yusuf1 goals2 assists
  • K. Zachariassen1 goals1 assists
  • D. Arzani1 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.