Gornik Zabrze
vs
Fenerbahçe
Final score: Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Fenerbahçe.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Gornik Zabrze, 24% draw, 47% Fenerbahçe — fair odds of 3.45, 4.17 and 2.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Gornik Zabrze 1.38, Fenerbahçe 1.80.
Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Match stats: Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe
Gornik Zabrze had 48% possession, 15 shots (6 on target), 9 corners; Fenerbahçe had 52% possession, 14 shots (2 on target), 7 corners.
Goals: Talisca (penalty) 12' for Fenerbahçe, M. Sacek 45+10' for Gornik Zabrze.
Head-to-head: Gornik Zabrze vs Fenerbahçe
- 29 July 2026Gornik Zabrze 0–0 FenerbahçeUEFA Champions League
- 21 July 2026Fenerbahçe 1–0 Gornik ZabrzeUEFA Champions League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Fenerbahçe the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.38 expected goals for Gornik Zabrze against 1.8 for Fenerbahçe. Gornik Zabrze's attack/defence rating is 0.84/1.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.11/0.87 for Fenerbahçe.