29 July 2026, 00:15 UTC

Rosario Central vs Racing Club Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Gigante de Arroyito, Rosario
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Rosario Central 0-0 Racing Club.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% Rosario Central, 22% draw, 50% Racing Club — fair odds of 3.57, 4.55 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Racing Club at 50% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rosario Central4%Draw90%Racing Club6%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

39'
S. Sosa
🔁E. Coronelout: F. Mallo Blanco
46'
51'
I. Rodriguez
59'
🔁U. Ortegozaout: M. Zaracho
59'
🔁S. Solariout: T. Conechny
🔁T. Badaloniout: E. Copetti
63'
65'
N. Colombo
G. Cantizano
67'
🔁V. Pizarroout: F. Navarro
71'
🔁G. Cantizanoout: F. Cervi
71'
74'
🔁M. Miljevicout: B. Rodriguez
74'
🔁A. Telloout: M. Kranevitter
78'
🔁L. Diazout: E. Torres
F. Cervi
80'
89'
M. Rojo
90'
E. Cannavo
90+2'
B. Rodriguez

Match stats — Rosario Central vs Racing Club

59%Possession41%
13Shots5
1On target2
6Corners2
0.93xG0.58

Goals against chances

Rosario Central0 from 0.93 xGless than the chances were worth
Racing Club0 from 0.58 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Rosario Central 4-2-3-1
  • 23Jeremías LedesmaG
  • 32Emanuel CoronelD
  • 46Ignacio OvandoD
  • 13Gastón ÁvilaD
  • 3Agustín SándezD
  • 5Franco IbarraM
  • 20Vicente PizarroM
  • 26Giovanni CantizanoM
  • 11Ángel Di MaríaM
  • 8Jaminton CampazM
  • 16Tomás BadaloniF
Substitutes
  • 15Facundo MalloD
  • 22Enzo CopettiF
  • 31Federico NavarroM
  • 10Franco CerviM
  • 1Axel WernerG
  • 2Sebastian ZarachoD
  • 33Alexis SotoD
  • 42Elías VerónD
  • 28Pol FernándezM
Coach: Jorge Almiron
Racing Club 4-3-1-2
  • 25Facundo CambesesG
  • 4Ezequiel CannavoD
  • 23Nazareno ColomboD
  • 6Marcos RojoD
  • 19Ignacio RodríguezD
  • 46Alejandro TelloM
  • 13Santiago SosaM
  • 16Ulises OrtegozaM
  • 10Matko MiljevicM
  • 28Santiago SolariF
  • 32Lautaro DíazF
Substitutes
  • 11Matías ZarachoM
  • 17Tomás ConechnyF
  • 20Baltasar RodriguezM
  • 5Matías KranevitterM
  • 22Elías TorresF
  • 30Matías TagliamonteG
  • 3Marco Di CesareD
  • 18PachaD
  • 43Gonzalo EscuderoD
Coach: Gustavo Costas

Form going into Rosario Central vs Racing Club

Rosario Central

  • L1-2away to Belgrano Cordoba23 July 2026

Racing Club

  • W2-1Gimnasia La Plata24 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Rosario Central vs Racing Club

  • 29 July 2026Rosario Central 0–0 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 13 May 2026Rosario Central 2–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 28 January 2026Racing Club 1–2 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 30 November 2024Rosario Central 0–2 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 4 December 2023Racing Club 2–2 Rosario CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 15 July 2023Racing Club 1–1 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina

Leading scorers: Rosario Central and Racing Club

Rosario Central

  • Á. Di María8 goals4 assists

Racing Club

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.