Rosario Central
vs
Racing Club
Final score: Rosario Central 0-0 Racing Club.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Rosario Central, 23% draw, 35% Racing Club — fair odds of 2.38, 4.35 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Rosario Central 1.86, Racing Club 1.70.
Both teams to score: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 69%, under 2.5: 31%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Match stats: Rosario Central vs Racing Club
Rosario Central had 59% possession, 13 shots (1 on target), 6 corners, 0.93 expected goals; Racing Club had 41% possession, 5 shots (2 on target), 2 corners, 0.58 expected goals.
Head-to-head: Rosario Central vs Racing Club
- 29 July 2026Rosario Central 0–0 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 13 May 2026Rosario Central 2–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 28 January 2026Racing Club 1–2 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
- 30 November 2024Rosario Central 0–2 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
- 4 December 2023Racing Club 2–2 Rosario CentralCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 15 July 2023Racing Club 1–1 Rosario CentralLiga Profesional Argentina
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rosario Central the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.86 expected goals for Rosario Central against 1.7 for Racing Club. Rosario Central's attack/defence rating is 0.78/1.5 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.81/1.26 for Racing Club.